Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

August 16, 2026 · Gabriel Hughes vs Blade Tidwell · 60°F

1.8% edge · San Francisco Giants

Colorado Rockies win

43.2%

San Francisco Giants win

56.8%

Fair line (home)

-131

Proj. total

8.11

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 3.83)San Francisco Giants (mean 4.27)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.11

Over

42.1%

Under

50.1%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	43.2%	+118	+131
San Francisco Giants	56.8%	-128	-131

Colorado Rockies — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.8	.838	.176	.066	.071	.331	.744	.264	.326	.384	.710
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.771	.165	.072	.071	.358	.939	.255	.321	.378	.699
Mickey Moniak	4.5	.663	.184	.052	.142	.268	1.061	.246	.296	.414	.710
Willi Castro	4.4	.703	.173	.025	.063	.383	.980	.244	.327	.349	.675
Troy Johnston	4.3	.736	.203	.017	.066	.336	.789	.261	.329	.372	.701
Zac Veen	4.2	.658	.179	.040	.086	.340	.885	.250	.316	.385	.701
Jordan Beck	4.1	.598	.162	.034	.082	.347	1.032	.235	.305	.363	.668
Brett Sullivan	4.0	.597	.168	.028	.056	.291	.652	.231	.293	.338	.630
Adael Amador	3.9	.614	.135	.022	.049	.404	.586	.239	.325	.333	.658

San Francisco Giants — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drew Gilbert	4.7	.746	.209	.032	.092	.385	.779	.257	.329	.388	.717
Rafael Devers	4.5	.669	.223	.010	.168	.520	1.039	.269	.359	.457	.816
Bryce Eldridge	4.4	.728	.216	.006	.131	.439	1.145	.273	.351	.430	.780
Jung Hoo Lee	4.3	.911	.234	.050	.059	.277	.398	.312	.362	.440	.801
Osleivis Basabe	4.2	.787	.217	.015	.048	.238	.636	.271	.319	.370	.689
Drew Cavanaugh	4.1	.651	.180	.007	.069	.401	1.104	.249	.335	.360	.695
Turner Hill	4.0	.747	.180	.037	.034	.369	.510	.278	.352	.376	.728
Buddy Kennedy	3.9	.637	.182	.013	.066	.391	.736	.261	.346	.378	.724
Christian Koss	3.8	.705	.187	.014	.051	.181	.740	.270	.315	.374	.689

Data notes: home starter Blade Tidwell: only 44 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Blade Tidwell: only 47 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Gabriel Hughes: only 55 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections