Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

September 22, 2026 · Taj Bradley vs Anthony Molina · 59°F

0.1% edge · Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins win

55.0%

San Francisco Giants win

45.0%

Fair line (home)

+122

Proj. total

7.5

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.09)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.41)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

7.5

Over

43.9%

Under

44.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	55.0%	-127	-122
San Francisco Giants	45.0%	+118	+122

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Taj Bradley RHP · Minnesota Twins	5.6	6.0	5.2	1.9	2.0
Anthony Molina RHP · San Francisco Giants	3.3	2.3	3.4	1.2	1.4

Strikeout ladder

Taj Bradley4+ 87%6+ 57%8+ 24%

Anthony Molina4+ 19%6+ 2%8+ 0%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Minnesota Twins — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luke Keaschall	4.8	.877	.229	.011	.068	.450	.606	.278	.360	.385	.745
Brooks Lee	4.7	.778	.182	.023	.114	.285	.631	.250	.301	.381	.681
Kody Clemens	4.6	.627	.177	.048	.145	.332	.873	.237	.299	.405	.705
Josh Bell	4.5	.720	.169	.009	.108	.432	.718	.251	.329	.379	.708
Walker Jenkins	4.4	.712	.185	.030	.086	.409	.765	.259	.335	.387	.722
Emmanuel Rodriguez	4.3	.575	.143	.033	.097	.580	1.185	.233	.345	.370	.715
Royce Lewis	4.2	.624	.186	.007	.121	.331	.813	.247	.311	.396	.707
Victor Caratini	4.0	.692	.122	.004	.076	.330	.666	.247	.325	.346	.671
Ryan Kreidler	3.9	.523	.148	.023	.072	.386	.941	.218	.302	.335	.637

San Francisco Giants — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drew Gilbert	4.5	.624	.171	.033	.112	.447	.934	.235	.321	.379	.700
Jonah Cox	4.4	.765	.129	.077	.062	.281	1.224	.253	.306	.368	.673
Victor Bericoto	4.3	.689	.155	.019	.115	.248	1.113	.243	.291	.378	.668
Turner Hill	4.2	.726	.181	.044	.047	.397	.645	.265	.342	.375	.716
Bo Davidson	4.1	.620	.149	.023	.111	.319	1.081	.241	.304	.381	.685
Shay Whitcomb	4.0	.555	.136	.009	.111	.258	1.156	.219	.275	.350	.625
Scott Bandura	3.9	.623	.167	.025	.048	.331	.953	.246	.316	.349	.665
Drew Cavanaugh	3.8	.516	.130	.007	.064	.373	1.201	.215	.302	.316	.618
Christian Koss	3.6	.590	.147	.009	.060	.188	.886	.237	.284	.338	.622

Data notes: home starter Anthony Molina: only 63 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Anthony Molina: only 51 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections