San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Odds

July 18, 2026 · Logan Webb vs Bryan Woo · 71°F

4.9% edge · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants win

46.3%

Seattle Mariners win

53.7%

Fair line (home)

-116

Proj. total

7.54

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

San Francisco Giants (mean 3.69)Seattle Mariners (mean 3.84)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.54

Over

44.0%

Under

43.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
San Francisco Giants	46.3%	+137	+116
Seattle Mariners	53.7%	-149	-116

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Arraez	4.7	1.040	.200	.042	.045	.202	.234	.300	.336	.395	.730
Bryce Eldridge	4.5	.601	.179	.004	.143	.359	1.451	.223	.290	.372	.661
Casey Schmitt	4.4	.650	.174	.011	.147	.189	1.029	.234	.275	.385	.660
Rafael Devers	4.3	.534	.173	.008	.178	.406	1.208	.230	.308	.416	.724
Heliot Ramos	4.2	.628	.155	.022	.140	.255	1.131	.241	.296	.399	.695
Jung Hoo Lee	4.1	.735	.193	.040	.063	.215	.489	.266	.310	.386	.696
Willy Adames	4.0	.487	.151	.011	.144	.318	1.120	.216	.283	.382	.665
Drew Gilbert	3.9	.517	.150	.022	.086	.271	.827	.218	.285	.345	.630
Daniel Susac	3.8	.562	.130	.020	.077	.168	1.038	.222	.266	.335	.601

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
J.P. Crawford	4.5	.748	.178	.004	.070	.508	.865	.249	.339	.348	.687
Julio Rodríguez	4.4	.786	.195	.014	.136	.293	.917	.276	.331	.430	.761
Dominic Canzone	4.3	.691	.187	.011	.144	.308	.924	.258	.316	.419	.735
Randy Arozarena	4.2	.640	.185	.009	.099	.379	1.022	.249	.336	.383	.719
Josh Naylor	4.1	.736	.183	.004	.100	.299	.588	.269	.327	.398	.724
Cal Raleigh	4.0	.469	.134	.002	.159	.438	1.117	.215	.307	.388	.694
Cole Young	3.9	.672	.154	.021	.059	.314	.661	.255	.324	.360	.684
Luke Raley	3.8	.532	.144	.011	.107	.242	1.133	.230	.300	.371	.672
Colt Emerson	3.7	.534	.145	.017	.063	.290	1.002	.227	.296	.337	.633

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections