Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Odds

August 2, 2026 · Taj Bradley vs George Kirby · 64°F

0.1% edge · Seattle Mariners

Minnesota Twins win

44.0%

Seattle Mariners win

56.0%

Fair line (home)

-127

Proj. total

7.66

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 3.64)Seattle Mariners (mean 4.02)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.66

Over

46.3%

Under

42.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	44.0%	+122	+127
Seattle Mariners	56.0%	-133	-127

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trevor Larnach	4.7	.693	.183	.013	.129	.374	1.088	.240	.307	.381	.688
Ryan Jeffers	4.5	.639	.187	.009	.146	.357	.980	.239	.312	.396	.708
Josh Bell	4.4	.658	.147	.013	.136	.317	.941	.234	.295	.377	.672
Kody Clemens	4.3	.554	.172	.030	.162	.225	1.065	.226	.274	.403	.677
Royce Lewis	4.2	.585	.163	.005	.161	.253	1.031	.231	.282	.397	.679
Brooks Lee	4.1	.639	.141	.021	.116	.213	.724	.237	.281	.374	.655
Alan Roden	4.0	.614	.164	.015	.077	.301	.838	.239	.309	.356	.665
Luke Keaschall	3.9	.661	.162	.011	.054	.294	.678	.252	.323	.351	.674
Ryan Kreidler	3.8	.456	.126	.020	.074	.289	1.191	.196	.266	.310	.576

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Cole Young	4.6	.725	.178	.020	.095	.432	.865	.249	.329	.372	.700
Randy Arozarena	4.5	.599	.178	.008	.135	.481	1.190	.238	.338	.393	.731
Dominic Canzone	4.3	.628	.166	.009	.195	.364	1.037	.252	.319	.446	.765
Julio Rodríguez	4.2	.690	.168	.012	.186	.323	.949	.272	.335	.465	.800
Josh Naylor	4.1	.672	.168	.004	.145	.369	.641	.264	.335	.426	.761
Cal Raleigh	4.0	.410	.115	.003	.211	.512	1.186	.212	.318	.428	.746
Victor Robles	3.9	.633	.168	.011	.047	.295	.892	.241	.311	.334	.645
Colt Emerson	3.8	.504	.129	.014	.090	.334	1.107	.215	.292	.339	.631
Leo Rivas	3.7	.487	.084	.014	.039	.543	1.039	.202	.329	.275	.604

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections