Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Drew Anderson vs Bryan Woo · 78°F

2.9% edge · Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers win

45.3%

Seattle Mariners win

54.7%

Fair line (home)

-121

Proj. total

8.08

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 3.92)Seattle Mariners (mean 4.16)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.08

Over

50.2%

Under

49.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	45.3%	+131	+121
Seattle Mariners	54.7%	-142	-121

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.7	.746	.207	.034	.116	.489	.737	.264	.346	.413	.759
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.726	.164	.004	.122	.451	.891	.247	.326	.379	.705
Dillon Dingler	4.5	.631	.183	.017	.174	.234	1.127	.240	.290	.417	.707
Riley Greene	4.4	.634	.176	.015	.185	.354	1.282	.253	.318	.443	.761
Colt Keith	4.3	.663	.151	.026	.127	.301	.931	.245	.303	.393	.696
Spencer Torkelson	4.2	.450	.153	.005	.172	.391	1.271	.209	.292	.392	.684
Max Clark	4.0	.599	.139	.024	.070	.346	.875	.226	.297	.334	.631
Eduardo Valencia	3.9	.541	.129	.009	.122	.234	1.016	.219	.273	.359	.632
Zach McKinstry	3.8	.509	.120	.046	.078	.287	.858	.215	.280	.343	.623

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Cole Young	4.6	.719	.180	.021	.087	.418	.867	.246	.325	.363	.688
Randy Arozarena	4.5	.592	.179	.010	.125	.466	1.159	.234	.336	.382	.718
Dominic Canzone	4.4	.626	.177	.009	.174	.353	1.020	.248	.315	.428	.743
Julio Rodríguez	4.3	.678	.162	.012	.176	.328	.941	.265	.331	.450	.781
Josh Naylor	4.2	.683	.168	.003	.130	.365	.644	.263	.334	.413	.747
Cal Raleigh	4.0	.415	.115	.004	.198	.487	1.194	.208	.311	.411	.721
Brendan Donovan	3.9	.674	.167	.011	.082	.371	.603	.267	.348	.391	.739
Taylor Ward	3.8	.526	.150	.008	.111	.484	.900	.240	.343	.391	.734
Colt Emerson	3.7	.487	.127	.013	.085	.318	1.066	.213	.290	.334	.624

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections