Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Odds

August 6, 2026 · Framber Valdez vs Bryce Miller · 79°F

3.3% edge · Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers win

48.7%

Seattle Mariners win

51.3%

Fair line (home)

-105

Proj. total

7.97

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.05)Seattle Mariners (mean 3.92)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.97

Over

40.8%

Under

51.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	48.7%	+116	+105
Seattle Mariners	51.3%	-125	-105

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.7	.746	.201	.035	.111	.541	.716	.262	.351	.407	.758
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.718	.164	.004	.122	.506	.870	.246	.333	.377	.710
Dillon Dingler	4.5	.651	.191	.020	.174	.267	1.096	.247	.300	.426	.725
Riley Greene	4.4	.635	.187	.014	.191	.398	1.250	.257	.329	.455	.784
Colt Keith	4.3	.659	.160	.029	.134	.344	.915	.249	.313	.406	.719
Spencer Torkelson	4.2	.453	.156	.005	.171	.421	1.255	.210	.298	.392	.690
Max Clark	4.1	.600	.142	.028	.070	.373	.850	.227	.302	.338	.640
Javier Báez	4.0	.601	.143	.013	.100	.137	.956	.225	.260	.349	.608
Zach McKinstry	3.9	.534	.122	.051	.079	.341	.845	.226	.301	.358	.658

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Taylor Ward	4.6	.670	.190	.010	.122	.581	1.010	.249	.350	.393	.743
Randy Arozarena	4.5	.644	.197	.011	.117	.456	1.086	.248	.348	.394	.741
Dominic Canzone	4.4	.674	.184	.013	.155	.346	.936	.256	.320	.424	.744
Julio Rodríguez	4.3	.721	.186	.013	.156	.301	.880	.274	.335	.447	.782
Cole Young	4.2	.697	.175	.020	.072	.372	.693	.257	.334	.372	.707
Weston Wilson	4.1	.550	.140	.010	.091	.384	1.145	.216	.297	.335	.632
Jhonny Pereda	4.0	.697	.154	.007	.048	.372	.848	.255	.332	.343	.675
Leo Rivas	3.9	.556	.096	.013	.033	.495	.993	.212	.327	.280	.606
Colt Emerson	3.7	.529	.141	.016	.079	.311	1.002	.227	.302	.348	.651

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections