Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Odds

September 9, 2026 · Cody Bradford vs Kade Anderson · 70°F

2.4% edge · Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers win

39.3%

Seattle Mariners win

60.7%

Fair line (home)

-154

Proj. total

8.3

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 3.73)Seattle Mariners (mean 4.57)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.3

Over

44.1%

Under

47.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	39.3%	+135	+154
Seattle Mariners	60.7%	-147	-154

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Cody Bradford LHP · Texas Rangers	5.1	4.0	5.4	1.5	2.6
Kade Anderson LHP · Seattle Mariners	5.0	5.4	4.4	1.4	1.8

Strikeout ladder

Cody Bradford4+ 59%6+ 21%8+ 5%

Kade Anderson4+ 81%6+ 45%8+ 16%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ezequiel Duran	4.6	.694	.204	.029	.109	.270	1.233	.239	.291	.376	.667
Corey Seager	4.5	.638	.182	.003	.183	.456	1.037	.249	.330	.432	.762
Justin Foscue	4.4	.548	.194	.011	.129	.341	1.050	.219	.288	.368	.656
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.659	.164	.018	.126	.365	1.049	.247	.320	.395	.715
Wyatt Langford	4.2	.561	.163	.019	.141	.435	1.046	.236	.322	.402	.724
Jake Burger	4.1	.539	.148	.007	.167	.246	1.187	.225	.279	.397	.677
Logan O'Hoppe	4.0	.536	.125	.006	.119	.253	1.165	.212	.270	.345	.615
Elias Díaz	3.9	.527	.141	.004	.092	.219	1.081	.210	.261	.327	.588
Cody Freeman	3.8	.604	.145	.014	.089	.206	.652	.240	.286	.364	.651

Seattle Mariners — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
J.P. Crawford	4.6	.739	.175	.004	.112	.499	.785	.256	.343	.385	.728
Randy Arozarena	4.5	.676	.193	.010	.180	.381	.939	.268	.350	.458	.807
Dominic Canzone	4.3	.662	.183	.013	.208	.304	.833	.266	.322	.473	.795
Cal Raleigh	4.2	.478	.134	.003	.269	.412	1.088	.233	.315	.483	.799
Julio Rodríguez	4.1	.720	.186	.008	.195	.239	.816	.287	.335	.490	.825
Josh Naylor	4.0	.729	.171	.003	.143	.285	.497	.281	.337	.444	.781
Taylor Ward	3.9	.560	.146	.009	.137	.428	.853	.247	.336	.413	.749
Cole Young	3.8	.632	.147	.023	.106	.269	.569	.260	.322	.406	.728
Weston Wilson	3.7	.476	.123	.008	.137	.293	1.010	.221	.288	.384	.672

Data notes: home starter Kade Anderson: only 14 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Kade Anderson: only 49 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Cody Bradford: only 48 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections