Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds

July 7, 2026 · Jacob Misiorowski vs Matt Svanson · 86°F

12.0% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers win

52.3%

St. Louis Cardinals win

47.7%

Fair line (home)

+110

Proj. total

8.87

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.66)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.22)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.87

Over

48.0%

Under

52.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	52.3%	-191	-110
St. Louis Cardinals	47.7%	+174	+110

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.9	.796	.184	.014	.134	.599	1.121	.263	.358	.405	.764
Jackson Chourio	4.8	.792	.239	.021	.163	.366	.949	.274	.334	.448	.782
Brice Turang	4.7	.801	.179	.023	.099	.556	.948	.267	.357	.393	.750
William Contreras	4.6	.786	.199	.005	.126	.560	.749	.278	.370	.424	.794
Jake Bauers	4.5	.569	.168	.008	.163	.606	1.159	.236	.346	.410	.756
Garrett Mitchell	4.4	.602	.172	.029	.098	.526	1.363	.236	.336	.374	.710
Sal Frelick	4.3	.814	.175	.017	.061	.400	.507	.278	.352	.380	.731
Cooper Pratt	4.2	.626	.135	.028	.058	.428	.769	.229	.318	.328	.645
Joey Ortiz	4.0	.670	.170	.018	.066	.367	.636	.253	.327	.363	.691

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.7	.699	.165	.010	.130	.588	1.005	.251	.362	.395	.756
Iván Herrera	4.6	.695	.155	.011	.126	.607	1.059	.257	.378	.402	.780
Alec Burleson	4.5	.737	.176	.006	.163	.439	.828	.271	.350	.440	.791
Jordan Walker	4.4	.593	.171	.009	.147	.400	1.347	.235	.314	.396	.710
Lars Nootbaar	4.3	.547	.150	.010	.122	.650	1.040	.232	.355	.381	.736
Bryan Torres	4.2	.702	.141	.018	.044	.540	.933	.252	.355	.338	.693
Nathan Church	4.0	.662	.147	.012	.080	.282	.847	.242	.305	.353	.658
José Fermín	3.9	.561	.149	.005	.070	.496	.680	.234	.346	.344	.691
Jimmy Crooks	3.8	.484	.118	.009	.095	.363	1.293	.207	.293	.330	.623

Data notes: game-time temp 86F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections