Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds

July 7, 2026 · Robert Gasser vs Hunter Dobbins · 87°F

3.0% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers win

48.7%

St. Louis Cardinals win

51.3%

Fair line (home)

-105

Proj. total

8.91

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.51)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.40)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.91

Over

43.7%

Under

47.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	48.7%	-112	+105
St. Louis Cardinals	51.3%	+103	-105

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.9	.839	.184	.018	.140	.551	1.028	.274	.362	.422	.784
Luis Lara	4.8	.826	.177	.028	.051	.472	.813	.254	.337	.345	.683
Brice Turang	4.7	.811	.185	.024	.113	.525	.862	.274	.360	.413	.773
Andrew Vaughn	4.6	.751	.210	.017	.136	.340	.739	.266	.329	.422	.751
Jake Bauers	4.5	.587	.164	.007	.171	.571	1.077	.241	.345	.421	.766
Gary Sánchez	4.3	.568	.126	.019	.179	.437	.961	.233	.324	.416	.740
Sal Frelick	4.2	.820	.168	.019	.062	.354	.481	.278	.345	.380	.725
Cooper Pratt	4.1	.642	.135	.029	.064	.384	.694	.235	.315	.339	.654
Joey Ortiz	4.0	.675	.176	.017	.067	.346	.582	.257	.327	.370	.696

St. Louis Cardinals — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.6	.754	.176	.010	.138	.476	.805	.267	.359	.417	.776
Iván Herrera	4.5	.749	.166	.013	.144	.493	.856	.275	.375	.435	.810
Jordan Walker	4.4	.661	.188	.011	.185	.336	1.165	.260	.324	.450	.774
Nelson Velázquez	4.3	.535	.149	.011	.190	.370	1.203	.228	.303	.419	.722
Alec Burleson	4.2	.722	.176	.009	.174	.333	.627	.282	.345	.469	.814
Masyn Winn	4.1	.677	.167	.022	.094	.313	.794	.257	.324	.389	.713
José Fermín	4.0	.630	.176	.007	.080	.426	.565	.256	.349	.379	.728
Blaze Jordan	3.9	.610	.172	.011	.109	.221	.559	.249	.300	.393	.693
Nathan Church	3.8	.663	.135	.012	.085	.216	.641	.257	.309	.376	.685

Data notes: home starter Hunter Dobbins: only 40 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Hunter Dobbins: only 33 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Robert Gasser: only 48 BF vs LHB this season · game-time temp 87F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections