Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds

July 9, 2026 · Logan Henderson vs Andre Pallante · 81°F

2.7% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers win

53.0%

St. Louis Cardinals win

47.0%

Fair line (home)

+113

Proj. total

9.15

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.86)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.29)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.15

Over

47.2%

Under

52.8%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	53.0%	-131	-113
St. Louis Cardinals	47.0%	+121	+113

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Garrett Mitchell	5.0	.741	.217	.037	.098	.596	1.385	.252	.349	.387	.736
Jackson Chourio	4.9	.857	.263	.025	.144	.360	.855	.288	.344	.454	.798
Brice Turang	4.8	.856	.199	.026	.093	.557	.829	.281	.369	.408	.777
William Contreras	4.6	.851	.217	.006	.113	.554	.657	.292	.380	.432	.813
Jake Bauers	4.5	.625	.181	.007	.157	.614	1.067	.250	.358	.422	.780
Andrew Vaughn	4.4	.754	.208	.013	.116	.349	.701	.271	.335	.415	.751
Sal Frelick	4.3	.866	.182	.021	.053	.396	.470	.289	.360	.388	.748
Cooper Pratt	4.2	.666	.149	.030	.051	.425	.702	.240	.324	.337	.661
Joey Ortiz	4.1	.710	.191	.020	.060	.371	.570	.266	.338	.378	.716

St. Louis Cardinals — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.7	.726	.172	.009	.148	.484	.870	.257	.347	.412	.758
Iván Herrera	4.5	.723	.166	.013	.152	.524	.891	.268	.368	.433	.801
Alec Burleson	4.5	.741	.188	.009	.180	.358	.707	.276	.339	.459	.799
Jordan Walker	4.3	.614	.179	.008	.175	.336	1.194	.246	.311	.428	.739
Lars Nootbaar	4.2	.584	.152	.011	.139	.567	.900	.244	.350	.406	.756
Masyn Winn	4.1	.649	.164	.022	.091	.319	.816	.245	.311	.373	.684
Bryan Torres	4.0	.698	.142	.021	.046	.458	.796	.257	.345	.348	.694
José Fermín	3.9	.590	.158	.006	.074	.425	.582	.242	.335	.357	.691
Nathan Church	3.8	.646	.142	.014	.093	.234	.674	.255	.309	.382	.691

Data notes: away starter Logan Henderson: only 64 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Logan Henderson: only 26 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections