Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds

July 8, 2026 · Kyle Harrison vs Michael McGreevy · 86°F

9.0% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers win

48.4%

St. Louis Cardinals win

51.6%

Fair line (home)

-107

Proj. total

8.69

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.38)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.31)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.69

Over

43.2%

Under

49.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	48.4%	-141	+107
St. Louis Cardinals	51.6%	+130	-107

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.8	.871	.195	.017	.141	.457	.993	.280	.353	.429	.782
Jackson Chourio	4.7	.818	.263	.022	.181	.274	.827	.289	.334	.481	.814
Jake Bauers	4.6	.642	.180	.007	.183	.507	1.068	.248	.337	.431	.768
William Contreras	4.5	.862	.213	.004	.128	.435	.638	.297	.368	.446	.815
Garrett Mitchell	4.4	.671	.192	.032	.098	.429	1.242	.251	.330	.391	.721
Luis Lara	4.3	.768	.166	.025	.043	.383	.705	.259	.333	.348	.680
Cooper Pratt	4.2	.680	.137	.030	.056	.357	.682	.238	.310	.334	.644
Joey Ortiz	4.1	.708	.189	.018	.070	.306	.561	.263	.323	.378	.701
Greg Jones	4.0	.554	.116	.024	.085	.217	1.435	.211	.268	.325	.593

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Masyn Winn	4.6	.736	.185	.025	.103	.387	.941	.251	.323	.381	.704
Iván Herrera	4.5	.718	.161	.011	.147	.557	.912	.270	.377	.432	.810
Jordan Walker	4.4	.633	.186	.007	.186	.370	1.216	.253	.323	.442	.765
Nelson Velázquez	4.3	.510	.146	.010	.180	.397	1.291	.219	.299	.402	.701
Alec Burleson	4.2	.733	.164	.009	.171	.363	.679	.284	.352	.468	.820
José Fermín	4.1	.605	.174	.006	.082	.486	.627	.245	.347	.368	.715
Blaze Jordan	4.0	.640	.178	.011	.112	.254	.629	.255	.309	.400	.709
Lars Nootbaar	3.9	.524	.141	.009	.125	.564	.835	.244	.360	.408	.768
Pedro Pagés	3.8	.525	.118	.008	.108	.275	1.033	.221	.286	.354	.640

Data notes: game-time temp 86F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections