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0.1% edge · Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds
August 7, 2026 · Ryan Feltner vs Kyle Leahy · 88°F
Colorado Rockies win
39.7%
St. Louis Cardinals win
60.3%
Fair line (home)
-152
Proj. total
10.76
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Colorado Rockies (mean 4.97)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 5.79)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
10.76
Over
65.6%
Under
34.4%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 39.7% | +148 | +152 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 60.3% | -161 | -152 |
Colorado Rockies — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | 4.9 | .926 | .195 | .077 | .107 | .339 | .713 | .290 | .349 | .440 | .789 |
| Cole Carrigg | 4.8 | .836 | .183 | .082 | .099 | .361 | .912 | .274 | .337 | .421 | .759 |
| Mickey Moniak | 4.7 | .737 | .204 | .063 | .207 | .250 | 1.020 | .276 | .320 | .493 | .813 |
| Hunter Goodman | 4.5 | .636 | .217 | .020 | .239 | .323 | 1.134 | .266 | .324 | .499 | .823 |
| TJ Rumfield | 4.5 | .786 | .206 | .018 | .121 | .402 | .694 | .284 | .357 | .435 | .792 |
| Willi Castro | 4.3 | .738 | .188 | .027 | .092 | .371 | .912 | .270 | .349 | .404 | .753 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 4.3 | .690 | .221 | .021 | .124 | .228 | .931 | .265 | .309 | .424 | .732 |
| Troy Johnston | 4.1 | .741 | .203 | .017 | .084 | .319 | .715 | .278 | .344 | .409 | .753 |
| Edouard Julien | 4.0 | .633 | .149 | .019 | .092 | .555 | .988 | .261 | .369 | .396 | .765 |
St. Louis Cardinals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt | 4.8 | .952 | .217 | .008 | .167 | .489 | .627 | .315 | .398 | .488 | .886 |
| Jordan Walker | 4.7 | .862 | .257 | .012 | .223 | .397 | .991 | .315 | .378 | .536 | .913 |
| Alec Burleson | 4.6 | .913 | .232 | .016 | .216 | .375 | .531 | .327 | .387 | .544 | .931 |
| Iván Herrera | 4.5 | .861 | .191 | .013 | .161 | .527 | .669 | .318 | .416 | .499 | .915 |
| Jimmy Crooks | 4.4 | .738 | .184 | .016 | .151 | .369 | 1.074 | .274 | .344 | .442 | .786 |
| Masyn Winn | 4.3 | .835 | .207 | .022 | .109 | .344 | .628 | .301 | .365 | .450 | .814 |
| Nathan Church | 4.2 | .839 | .182 | .021 | .116 | .266 | .574 | .299 | .351 | .447 | .798 |
| Bryan Torres | 4.1 | .842 | .187 | .022 | .066 | .463 | .612 | .312 | .394 | .431 | .825 |
| César Prieto | 4.0 | .816 | .207 | .016 | .081 | .215 | .494 | .303 | .349 | .433 | .782 |
Data notes: game-time temp 88F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections