Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds

August 8, 2026 · Kyle Freeland vs Matthew Liberatore · 89°F

3.3% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Colorado Rockies win

37.9%

St. Louis Cardinals win

62.1%

Fair line (home)

-164

Proj. total

10.79

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.90)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 5.90)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

10.79

Over

65.6%

Under

34.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	37.9%	+138	+164
St. Louis Cardinals	62.1%	-150	-164

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.9	.926	.195	.079	.120	.332	.727	.294	.352	.452	.804
Kyle Karros	4.8	.818	.246	.029	.111	.490	.943	.283	.364	.433	.797
Cole Carrigg	4.7	.836	.180	.057	.109	.307	.916	.275	.332	.419	.751
Hunter Goodman	4.6	.638	.212	.020	.262	.316	1.173	.269	.326	.516	.842
TJ Rumfield	4.5	.768	.206	.016	.130	.402	.702	.281	.355	.438	.793
Willi Castro	4.3	.732	.180	.019	.097	.334	.945	.263	.337	.392	.729
Jordan Beck	4.2	.659	.178	.042	.112	.334	1.053	.255	.319	.409	.728
Tyler Freeman	4.1	.810	.174	.022	.063	.296	.471	.288	.359	.398	.757
Ezequiel Tovar	4.0	.650	.207	.021	.121	.205	.879	.263	.306	.424	.730

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.8	.965	.222	.009	.182	.391	.600	.320	.388	.502	.890
Jordan Walker	4.7	.874	.261	.010	.237	.314	.942	.320	.371	.549	.920
Iván Herrera	4.6	.907	.206	.014	.181	.437	.646	.326	.408	.520	.928
Alec Burleson	4.5	.927	.226	.015	.210	.284	.491	.333	.381	.547	.928
José Fermín	4.3	.825	.234	.008	.114	.378	.440	.302	.373	.454	.827
Masyn Winn	4.2	.873	.225	.023	.118	.267	.599	.315	.365	.475	.840
Blaze Jordan	4.1	.826	.233	.022	.130	.190	.428	.309	.345	.479	.824
Nathan Church	4.0	.827	.180	.025	.122	.204	.517	.305	.347	.463	.811
Everson Pereira	3.9	.635	.169	.011	.189	.269	1.014	.279	.338	.491	.828

Data notes: game-time temp 89F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections