Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Michael Lorenzen vs Michael McGreevy · 90°F

2.5% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Colorado Rockies win

37.5%

St. Louis Cardinals win

62.5%

Fair line (home)

-167

Proj. total

10.79

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.84)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 5.95)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.79

Over

56.2%

Under

33.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	37.5%	+145	+167
St. Louis Cardinals	62.5%	-158	-167

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.8	.961	.202	.079	.104	.260	.637	.298	.344	.447	.791
Cole Carrigg	4.7	.891	.192	.087	.102	.273	.824	.288	.336	.441	.776
TJ Rumfield	4.6	.851	.222	.021	.126	.347	.659	.289	.350	.441	.791
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.673	.219	.021	.246	.263	1.033	.275	.324	.513	.836
Mickey Moniak	4.4	.718	.200	.056	.186	.205	.892	.278	.317	.487	.804
Kyle Karros	4.3	.791	.232	.027	.095	.378	.750	.295	.363	.442	.806
Willi Castro	4.2	.746	.182	.030	.095	.279	.828	.275	.337	.413	.750
Brett Sullivan	4.1	.669	.185	.031	.085	.236	.577	.254	.302	.385	.687
Ezequiel Tovar	4.0	.672	.222	.021	.118	.168	.795	.275	.310	.439	.749

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.9	.958	.218	.009	.191	.474	.626	.321	.400	.509	.909
Jordan Walker	4.7	.863	.252	.010	.235	.378	.987	.314	.374	.540	.914
Alec Burleson	4.6	.922	.227	.015	.219	.358	.531	.328	.386	.544	.930
Iván Herrera	4.5	.868	.198	.013	.173	.502	.655	.323	.416	.514	.931
Jimmy Crooks	4.4	.754	.179	.013	.154	.361	1.062	.276	.344	.443	.786
Masyn Winn	4.3	.853	.221	.024	.117	.332	.612	.310	.370	.468	.838
Nathan Church	4.2	.843	.183	.022	.122	.255	.574	.301	.351	.454	.805
José Fermín	4.1	.747	.221	.006	.097	.419	.424	.297	.379	.443	.822
Bryan Torres	4.0	.831	.170	.020	.068	.442	.577	.311	.393	.430	.822

Data notes: game-time temp 90F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections