Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

July 24, 2026 · Joey Cantillo vs Shane McClanahan · 72°F

6.5% edge · Tampa Bay Rays

Cleveland Guardians win

38.1%

Tampa Bay Rays win

61.9%

Fair line (home)

-162

Proj. total

7.77

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.43)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.35)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.77

Over

46.8%

Under

41.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	38.1%	+120	+162
Tampa Bay Rays	61.9%	-130	-162

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Angel Martínez	4.6	.656	.189	.014	.126	.224	1.087	.227	.274	.363	.637
Chase DeLauter	4.5	.719	.201	.016	.135	.411	.772	.262	.332	.417	.749
Rhys Hoskins	4.4	.468	.152	.006	.161	.529	1.358	.205	.309	.374	.682
Brayan Rocchio	4.3	.640	.171	.019	.081	.314	.810	.231	.299	.346	.645
David Fry	4.2	.513	.140	.007	.126	.390	1.270	.208	.290	.349	.639
Travis Bazzana	4.1	.537	.170	.024	.088	.454	1.072	.226	.317	.359	.675
Gabriel Arias	4.0	.519	.148	.018	.112	.248	1.359	.214	.270	.354	.623
Austin Hedges	3.9	.526	.108	.005	.089	.290	.977	.205	.270	.313	.583
Petey Halpin	3.8	.513	.128	.026	.064	.243	1.096	.210	.265	.316	.581

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.6	.814	.193	.011	.151	.560	.759	.291	.384	.458	.842
Jonathan Aranda	4.5	.692	.180	.004	.139	.617	1.154	.265	.375	.423	.797
Junior Caminero	4.4	.626	.168	.005	.280	.462	.888	.276	.356	.537	.892
Cedric Mullins	4.3	.553	.149	.022	.126	.479	1.004	.225	.318	.376	.694
Jonny DeLuca	4.2	.573	.178	.024	.113	.363	.931	.235	.308	.385	.694
Chandler Simpson	4.1	.889	.115	.061	.013	.285	.486	.285	.337	.357	.695
Ryan Vilade	4.0	.574	.155	.020	.091	.411	1.015	.238	.324	.371	.695
Ben Williamson	3.9	.671	.172	.015	.042	.346	.831	.257	.329	.351	.680
Nick Fortes	3.7	.585	.152	.009	.084	.240	.650	.241	.303	.364	.667

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections