Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

July 28, 2026 · Cal Quantrill vs Griffin Jax · 72°F

3.0% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

41.8%

Tampa Bay Rays win

58.2%

Fair line (home)

-139

Proj. total

8.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 3.81)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.40)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.21

Over

42.7%

Under

49.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	41.8%	+153	+139
Tampa Bay Rays	58.2%	-166	-139

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.7	.571	.123	.022	.201	.567	1.173	.225	.330	.414	.744
Wyatt Langford	4.6	.611	.170	.023	.169	.526	1.122	.241	.333	.420	.753
Ezequiel Duran	4.5	.686	.187	.018	.101	.258	1.130	.237	.287	.362	.650
Brandon Nimmo	4.4	.627	.159	.019	.135	.426	1.042	.241	.324	.396	.719
Evan Carter	4.3	.522	.126	.032	.112	.483	1.091	.212	.311	.352	.663
Jake Burger	4.2	.540	.144	.006	.181	.285	1.137	.226	.287	.407	.694
Nicky Lopez	4.1	.703	.117	.017	.022	.334	.699	.233	.305	.292	.597
Josh Smith	4.0	.554	.137	.016	.072	.411	.826	.224	.318	.334	.652
Austin Wynns	3.8	.507	.124	.007	.094	.243	1.126	.205	.262	.323	.585

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.6	.871	.213	.012	.160	.460	.611	.306	.383	.480	.863
Jonathan Aranda	4.5	.747	.185	.005	.153	.531	1.014	.278	.375	.445	.820
Junior Caminero	4.4	.664	.167	.005	.300	.394	.760	.285	.353	.555	.907
Cedric Mullins	4.3	.591	.164	.021	.133	.402	.875	.236	.315	.393	.708
Chandler Simpson	4.2	.967	.123	.054	.014	.245	.390	.294	.338	.363	.701
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.1	.616	.165	.017	.116	.331	.858	.244	.310	.390	.701
Richie Palacios	4.0	.612	.156	.027	.062	.445	.697	.246	.339	.359	.698
Taylor Walls	3.9	.546	.137	.028	.048	.406	.892	.221	.307	.319	.626
Hunter Feduccia	3.8	.525	.137	.025	.072	.419	.941	.230	.320	.351	.671

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections