Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

July 29, 2026 · MacKenzie Gore vs Casey Legumina · 72°F

2.4% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

44.8%

Tampa Bay Rays win

55.2%

Fair line (home)

-123

Proj. total

7.95

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 3.82)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.13)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.95

Over

48.3%

Under

51.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	44.8%	+131	+123
Tampa Bay Rays	55.2%	-143	-123

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Wyatt Langford	4.7	.628	.168	.026	.183	.555	1.084	.243	.338	.429	.768
Ezequiel Duran	4.6	.712	.207	.021	.108	.277	1.068	.244	.297	.378	.674
Brandon Nimmo	4.5	.653	.161	.018	.150	.447	.992	.246	.331	.408	.739
Jake Burger	4.4	.592	.153	.007	.199	.299	1.106	.235	.297	.424	.720
Justin Foscue	4.3	.537	.181	.004	.120	.428	.877	.221	.308	.364	.672
Nicky Lopez	4.2	.732	.128	.018	.028	.345	.660	.239	.311	.304	.615
Cam Cauley	4.1	.524	.139	.028	.080	.331	1.077	.207	.276	.324	.599
Alejandro Osuna	4.0	.624	.151	.010	.065	.383	.726	.242	.329	.346	.675
Elias Díaz	3.9	.535	.140	.005	.105	.247	.916	.220	.277	.351	.628

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.6	.828	.186	.012	.158	.510	.771	.293	.378	.463	.841
Jonathan Aranda	4.5	.683	.170	.004	.148	.557	1.192	.260	.362	.421	.782
Junior Caminero	4.4	.616	.161	.004	.288	.430	.908	.272	.347	.535	.882
Ryan Vilade	4.3	.614	.166	.023	.097	.388	1.122	.234	.311	.365	.677
Jonny DeLuca	4.2	.581	.177	.024	.122	.325	.972	.238	.305	.393	.698
Chandler Simpson	4.1	.887	.114	.052	.015	.261	.488	.282	.330	.352	.682
Ben Williamson	4.0	.678	.178	.018	.043	.323	.869	.254	.321	.349	.670
Nick Fortes	3.8	.607	.153	.008	.088	.213	.677	.240	.295	.362	.657
Taylor Walls	3.7	.473	.123	.018	.043	.397	1.001	.200	.290	.287	.577

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections