Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

July 30, 2026 · Cole Winn vs Shane McClanahan · 72°F

0.5% edge · Tampa Bay Rays

Texas Rangers win

40.4%

Tampa Bay Rays win

59.6%

Fair line (home)

-148

Proj. total

7.92

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 3.58)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.34)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.92

Over

47.8%

Under

52.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	40.4%	+140	+148
Tampa Bay Rays	59.6%	-152	-148

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Wyatt Langford	4.7	.626	.171	.023	.174	.516	1.158	.242	.331	.422	.753
Ezequiel Duran	4.5	.694	.196	.019	.106	.252	1.147	.238	.286	.368	.654
Brandon Nimmo	4.4	.642	.161	.018	.141	.405	1.051	.241	.319	.396	.715
Jake Burger	4.3	.570	.154	.005	.193	.267	1.203	.229	.284	.413	.697
Justin Foscue	4.2	.523	.180	.004	.121	.386	.941	.218	.297	.362	.659
Cam Cauley	4.1	.529	.135	.033	.078	.309	1.175	.204	.267	.318	.585
Nicky Lopez	4.0	.709	.129	.018	.023	.305	.694	.240	.304	.304	.608
Austin Wynns	3.9	.522	.128	.006	.099	.233	1.135	.208	.261	.328	.589
Alejandro Osuna	3.8	.605	.139	.009	.067	.352	.755	.243	.325	.349	.674

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.6	.843	.194	.010	.162	.493	.644	.297	.380	.469	.849
Jonathan Aranda	4.5	.716	.182	.004	.154	.546	1.048	.272	.371	.440	.811
Junior Caminero	4.4	.650	.168	.005	.281	.418	.790	.279	.352	.538	.890
Cedric Mullins	4.3	.584	.156	.020	.128	.421	.908	.233	.316	.384	.700
Jonny DeLuca	4.2	.593	.183	.025	.120	.329	.832	.242	.309	.397	.707
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.1	.592	.168	.017	.123	.361	.883	.244	.316	.399	.715
Ben Williamson	4.0	.706	.180	.019	.045	.324	.769	.263	.330	.361	.691
Taylor Walls	3.9	.514	.136	.025	.046	.440	.914	.213	.308	.309	.617
Hunter Feduccia	3.7	.506	.124	.022	.070	.463	.967	.222	.323	.339	.662

Data notes: away starter Cole Winn: only 66 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections