Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

July 31, 2026 · Erick Fedde vs Nick Martinez · 72°F

1.0% edge · Tampa Bay Rays

Chicago White Sox win

44.5%

Tampa Bay Rays win

55.5%

Fair line (home)

-125

Proj. total

8.98

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 4.32)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.67)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.98

Over

50.9%

Under

49.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	44.5%	+116	+125
Tampa Bay Rays	55.5%	-125	-125

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.876	.182	.030	.080	.381	.676	.276	.356	.389	.745
Munetaka Murakami	4.7	.540	.114	.005	.305	.587	1.249	.239	.340	.496	.836
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.595	.196	.014	.186	.477	.719	.246	.333	.441	.774
Colson Montgomery	4.4	.541	.150	.009	.235	.328	1.156	.231	.299	.447	.746
Andrew Benintendi	4.3	.689	.163	.021	.153	.318	.739	.257	.315	.424	.739
Braden Montgomery	4.2	.626	.178	.018	.099	.309	1.046	.238	.302	.370	.672
Tristan Peters	4.1	.622	.175	.022	.084	.291	.767	.238	.298	.363	.661
Chase Meidroth	4.0	.701	.140	.004	.074	.372	.647	.256	.333	.360	.692
Drew Romo	3.9	.546	.130	.007	.122	.213	.880	.221	.271	.362	.633

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.7	.867	.201	.011	.173	.526	.590	.304	.389	.483	.872
Jonathan Aranda	4.6	.754	.196	.004	.164	.605	.955	.285	.388	.462	.850
Junior Caminero	4.5	.679	.166	.005	.307	.460	.721	.290	.367	.565	.931
Cedric Mullins	4.4	.601	.169	.022	.145	.457	.855	.242	.327	.409	.735
Chandler Simpson	4.3	.970	.124	.053	.014	.273	.400	.291	.339	.360	.699
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.2	.621	.171	.016	.129	.395	.834	.250	.326	.408	.734
Richie Palacios	4.0	.635	.158	.028	.066	.501	.677	.253	.353	.370	.722
Taylor Walls	3.9	.543	.138	.027	.048	.476	.863	.220	.319	.318	.637
Hunter Feduccia	3.8	.517	.139	.023	.069	.492	.920	.226	.330	.344	.674

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections