Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

August 1, 2026 · Jordan Hicks vs Drew Rasmussen · 72°F

6.0% edge · Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox win

46.2%

Tampa Bay Rays win

53.8%

Fair line (home)

-117

Proj. total

7.76

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 3.82)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 3.94)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.76

Over

46.1%

Under

53.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	46.2%	+144	+117
Tampa Bay Rays	53.8%	-157	-117

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.7	.828	.170	.029	.070	.383	.846	.262	.344	.367	.711
Munetaka Murakami	4.6	.511	.113	.004	.257	.541	1.463	.220	.317	.441	.758
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.572	.190	.014	.154	.461	.872	.233	.320	.404	.724
Colson Montgomery	4.4	.499	.139	.009	.191	.310	1.384	.209	.277	.391	.668
Andrew Benintendi	4.3	.670	.147	.021	.123	.307	.878	.243	.300	.384	.684
Braden Montgomery	4.2	.605	.164	.016	.090	.305	1.200	.228	.293	.351	.643
Tristan Peters	4.1	.601	.169	.018	.075	.291	.905	.230	.292	.345	.637
Chase Meidroth	4.0	.658	.134	.004	.060	.366	.788	.242	.320	.332	.652
Edgar Quero	3.8	.623	.118	.003	.070	.260	.835	.232	.294	.327	.621

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.6	.817	.187	.012	.141	.554	.709	.291	.385	.450	.836
Chandler Simpson	4.5	.977	.125	.057	.013	.314	.506	.282	.335	.349	.684
Junior Caminero	4.4	.615	.158	.005	.257	.469	.849	.267	.350	.509	.859
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.3	.604	.163	.013	.109	.425	.991	.233	.314	.367	.681
Jonny DeLuca	4.2	.580	.177	.022	.105	.360	.898	.235	.310	.378	.687
Ryan Vilade	4.1	.568	.159	.019	.085	.412	1.014	.231	.317	.357	.674
Ben Williamson	4.0	.677	.169	.017	.042	.361	.817	.255	.330	.348	.678
Nick Fortes	3.8	.603	.149	.009	.077	.239	.634	.237	.299	.351	.650
Taylor Walls	3.7	.479	.123	.020	.038	.466	.938	.205	.311	.292	.603

Data notes: away starter Jordan Hicks: only 53 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections