Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction & Odds

August 2, 2026 · Anthony Kay vs Griffin Jax · 72°F

0.5% edge · Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox win

41.2%

Tampa Bay Rays win

58.8%

Fair line (home)

-143

Proj. total

8.43

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 3.90)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.53)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.43

Over

52.8%

Under

47.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	41.2%	+141	+143
Tampa Bay Rays	58.8%	-154	-143

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.776	.177	.026	.075	.465	.880	.254	.349	.363	.712
Munetaka Murakami	4.6	.477	.105	.005	.255	.656	1.510	.214	.330	.437	.767
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.547	.183	.013	.155	.560	.896	.229	.333	.402	.735
Colson Montgomery	4.4	.481	.131	.009	.197	.392	1.417	.207	.289	.393	.682
Andrew Benintendi	4.3	.640	.141	.018	.134	.376	.921	.238	.308	.386	.695
Braden Montgomery	4.2	.577	.164	.017	.088	.374	1.225	.223	.300	.345	.645
Tristan Peters	4.1	.587	.157	.021	.072	.347	.949	.225	.297	.336	.633
Chase Meidroth	4.0	.640	.127	.004	.064	.448	.808	.239	.332	.332	.664
Drew Romo	3.9	.498	.122	.006	.104	.247	1.036	.204	.262	.328	.590

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.7	.862	.206	.010	.146	.526	.610	.302	.390	.465	.855
Jonathan Aranda	4.5	.758	.188	.005	.141	.571	.990	.281	.386	.441	.827
Junior Caminero	4.4	.661	.182	.004	.279	.435	.752	.283	.359	.542	.901
Ryan Vilade	4.3	.670	.174	.022	.095	.408	.956	.248	.329	.379	.707
Chandler Simpson	4.2	.951	.129	.057	.012	.275	.393	.292	.342	.364	.705
Jonny DeLuca	4.1	.609	.183	.023	.109	.325	.777	.246	.314	.395	.709
Ben Williamson	4.0	.728	.183	.018	.043	.328	.748	.267	.334	.362	.696
Cedric Mullins	3.9	.534	.140	.020	.114	.406	.802	.234	.322	.385	.708
Nick Fortes	3.8	.619	.158	.007	.082	.217	.550	.249	.307	.369	.676

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections