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5.3% edge · Texas RangersLos Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds
July 8, 2026 · Walbert Ureña vs MacKenzie Gore · 85°F
Los Angeles Angels win
39.2%
Texas Rangers win
60.8%
Fair line (home)
-155
Proj. total
9.11
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.13)Texas Rangers (mean 4.98)
Totals
O/U line
8
Proj. total
9.11
Over
44.5%
Under
47.5%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 39.2% | +120 | +155 |
| Texas Rangers | 60.8% | -130 | -155 |
Los Angeles Angels — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 4.7 | .601 | .194 | .012 | .194 | .417 | 1.329 | .237 | .320 | .427 | .747 |
| Mike Trout | 4.6 | .524 | .131 | .011 | .210 | .761 | 1.369 | .230 | .365 | .435 | .800 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 4.5 | .746 | .195 | .007 | .109 | .380 | .890 | .259 | .330 | .391 | .721 |
| Jo Adell | 4.4 | .576 | .154 | .009 | .229 | .289 | 1.209 | .239 | .300 | .451 | .751 |
| Denzer Guzman | 4.3 | .608 | .161 | .014 | .106 | .329 | 1.216 | .225 | .290 | .354 | .644 |
| Oswald Peraza | 4.2 | .609 | .133 | .018 | .117 | .301 | 1.132 | .229 | .295 | .364 | .659 |
| Jose Siri | 4.1 | .493 | .130 | .023 | .144 | .291 | 1.445 | .210 | .274 | .372 | .646 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 4.0 | .540 | .110 | .008 | .146 | .322 | 1.132 | .224 | .294 | .381 | .675 |
| Josh Lowe | 3.8 | .528 | .155 | .013 | .124 | .313 | 1.141 | .234 | .300 | .391 | .691 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.8 | .643 | .154 | .024 | .193 | .775 | .895 | .259 | .393 | .458 | .851 |
| Josh Smith | 4.7 | .746 | .201 | .016 | .084 | .659 | .720 | .267 | .386 | .391 | .777 |
| Jake Burger | 4.5 | .679 | .195 | .007 | .201 | .396 | .983 | .264 | .337 | .462 | .799 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.4 | .725 | .178 | .019 | .146 | .591 | .811 | .283 | .390 | .457 | .846 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.3 | .729 | .222 | .025 | .087 | .356 | .889 | .271 | .340 | .407 | .747 |
| Evan Carter | 4.2 | .572 | .161 | .045 | .115 | .651 | .805 | .255 | .382 | .425 | .807 |
| Alejandro Osuna | 4.1 | .709 | .168 | .012 | .078 | .528 | .672 | .275 | .381 | .397 | .777 |
| Elias Díaz | 4.0 | .609 | .150 | .005 | .108 | .376 | .867 | .243 | .321 | .378 | .699 |
| Nicky Lopez | 3.9 | .708 | .142 | .020 | .021 | .446 | .550 | .262 | .355 | .334 | .689 |
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections