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4.5% edge · Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds
July 9, 2026 · Reid Detmers vs Nathan Eovaldi · 85°F
Los Angeles Angels win
48.3%
Texas Rangers win
51.7%
Fair line (home)
-107
Proj. total
8.51
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.31)Texas Rangers (mean 4.20)
Totals
O/U line
7.5
Proj. total
8.51
Over
47.3%
Under
52.8%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 48.3% | +124 | +107 |
| Texas Rangers | 51.7% | -134 | -107 |
Los Angeles Angels — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 4.8 | .653 | .211 | .013 | .192 | .329 | 1.254 | .246 | .315 | .433 | .749 |
| Mike Trout | 4.7 | .595 | .151 | .013 | .220 | .611 | 1.326 | .245 | .353 | .454 | .807 |
| Nolan Schanuel | 4.6 | .793 | .194 | .006 | .120 | .406 | .691 | .272 | .347 | .410 | .757 |
| Jorge Soler | 4.5 | .561 | .165 | .013 | .180 | .392 | 1.282 | .228 | .304 | .410 | .714 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 4.4 | .782 | .206 | .007 | .100 | .291 | .773 | .274 | .332 | .404 | .736 |
| Josh Lowe | 4.3 | .613 | .184 | .018 | .137 | .281 | 1.194 | .241 | .295 | .400 | .696 |
| Denzer Guzman | 4.1 | .637 | .158 | .016 | .100 | .261 | 1.093 | .237 | .291 | .364 | .655 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 4.0 | .587 | .117 | .010 | .155 | .262 | 1.085 | .234 | .292 | .396 | .689 |
| Wade Meckler | 3.9 | .689 | .162 | .017 | .057 | .344 | .871 | .262 | .332 | .366 | .697 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Foscue | 4.6 | .584 | .208 | .007 | .137 | .458 | 1.038 | .231 | .318 | .386 | .704 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.5 | .608 | .170 | .024 | .170 | .577 | 1.120 | .252 | .356 | .442 | .797 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.4 | .647 | .151 | .018 | .165 | .471 | 1.049 | .256 | .347 | .434 | .782 |
| Josh Jung | 4.3 | .694 | .187 | .007 | .155 | .299 | 1.029 | .266 | .324 | .436 | .760 |
| Jake Burger | 4.2 | .581 | .165 | .007 | .206 | .283 | 1.121 | .251 | .313 | .460 | .773 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.0 | .635 | .192 | .019 | .096 | .264 | 1.057 | .252 | .309 | .390 | .699 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 3.9 | .516 | .136 | .011 | .162 | .293 | 1.070 | .228 | .291 | .406 | .697 |
| Cam Cauley | 3.8 | .519 | .141 | .025 | .082 | .328 | 1.110 | .221 | .293 | .347 | .640 |
| Alejandro Osuna | 3.7 | .592 | .142 | .010 | .073 | .401 | .781 | .252 | .346 | .370 | .716 |
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections