Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

July 20, 2026 · Erick Fedde vs Jacob deGrom · 85°F

1.4% edge · Texas Rangers

Chicago White Sox win

38.0%

Texas Rangers win

62.0%

Fair line (home)

-163

Proj. total

9.22

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 4.14)Texas Rangers (mean 5.08)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.22

Over

61.0%

Under

39.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	38.0%	+149	+163
Texas Rangers	62.0%	-162	-163

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.7	.805	.175	.027	.083	.355	.983	.258	.332	.371	.703
Munetaka Murakami	4.6	.487	.105	.004	.316	.520	1.574	.226	.318	.488	.806
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.559	.190	.013	.193	.441	.985	.238	.320	.436	.756
Colson Montgomery	4.4	.480	.135	.008	.241	.297	1.494	.214	.276	.430	.706
Andrew Benintendi	4.3	.650	.144	.021	.154	.296	.997	.244	.300	.408	.708
Kyle Teel	4.2	.634	.135	.006	.136	.363	1.235	.241	.312	.388	.700
Braden Montgomery	4.1	.555	.157	.015	.104	.291	1.279	.222	.284	.355	.639
Tristan Peters	4.0	.574	.164	.021	.092	.257	.969	.232	.287	.363	.650
Chase Meidroth	3.8	.649	.129	.004	.074	.345	.839	.248	.323	.352	.676

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.7	.643	.144	.022	.264	.603	.905	.269	.374	.514	.888
Wyatt Langford	4.5	.686	.190	.024	.220	.559	.864	.283	.376	.510	.887
Josh Jung	4.4	.778	.212	.007	.179	.320	.842	.287	.344	.474	.818
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.703	.178	.021	.189	.456	.798	.285	.369	.491	.860
Jake Burger	4.2	.643	.171	.006	.247	.310	.917	.275	.337	.514	.851
Ezequiel Duran	4.1	.689	.204	.018	.122	.273	.836	.271	.325	.430	.755
Evan Carter	4.0	.565	.146	.037	.136	.497	.804	.255	.356	.436	.791
Elias Díaz	3.9	.591	.159	.004	.134	.276	.821	.246	.305	.404	.709
Nicky Lopez	3.8	.727	.130	.019	.029	.336	.511	.265	.338	.340	.678

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections