Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

July 25, 2026 · Bryan Woo vs Nathan Eovaldi · 85°F

1.9% edge · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners win

53.1%

Texas Rangers win

46.9%

Fair line (home)

+113

Proj. total

8.46

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Seattle Mariners (mean 4.53)Texas Rangers (mean 3.93)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.46

Over

53.4%

Under

46.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Seattle Mariners	53.1%	-109	-113
Texas Rangers	46.9%	+101	+113

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Cole Young	4.8	.783	.204	.023	.116	.354	.908	.258	.323	.395	.718
Julio Rodríguez	4.7	.773	.199	.012	.227	.291	1.046	.280	.334	.490	.824
Dominic Canzone	4.6	.670	.193	.012	.215	.314	1.068	.259	.315	.463	.778
Randy Arozarena	4.5	.618	.185	.011	.152	.381	1.161	.245	.331	.413	.744
Josh Naylor	4.3	.741	.173	.004	.164	.301	.672	.270	.326	.438	.765
Cal Raleigh	4.2	.446	.125	.003	.249	.417	1.268	.218	.302	.450	.752
Luke Raley	4.1	.537	.144	.014	.173	.242	1.325	.231	.299	.414	.713
J.P. Crawford	4.0	.609	.152	.003	.098	.431	.856	.243	.331	.371	.702
Colt Emerson	3.9	.528	.146	.018	.101	.267	1.135	.221	.284	.357	.640

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.5	.589	.134	.024	.245	.419	1.114	.246	.328	.473	.801
Wyatt Langford	4.4	.635	.172	.024	.207	.404	1.052	.261	.334	.472	.806
Ezequiel Duran	4.3	.711	.198	.020	.119	.199	1.068	.257	.298	.402	.700
Brandon Nimmo	4.2	.649	.161	.019	.170	.314	.988	.259	.323	.443	.767
Evan Carter	4.1	.540	.146	.038	.135	.365	1.031	.232	.311	.402	.713
Nicky Lopez	4.0	.736	.126	.019	.029	.253	.687	.245	.301	.313	.615
Alejandro Osuna	3.9	.669	.151	.009	.074	.286	.778	.255	.322	.366	.687
Josh Smith	3.8	.574	.140	.016	.086	.310	.787	.240	.315	.367	.682
Austin Wynns	3.7	.518	.136	.006	.104	.184	1.038	.222	.268	.356	.624

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections