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San Francisco Giants vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

August 3, 2026 · Logan Webb vs Cal Quantrill · 85°F
2.0% edge · San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants win
46.6%
Texas Rangers win
53.4%
Fair line (home)
-115
Proj. total
8.42

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%15%036912151821Runs scored
San Francisco Giants (mean 4.17)Texas Rangers (mean 4.25)

Totals

O/U line
8
Proj. total
8.42
Over
45.3%
Under
47.2%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
San Francisco Giants46.6%+120+115
Texas Rangers53.4%-130-115

San Francisco Giants — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Nate Furman4.8.819.179.015.070.433.736.253.330.351.681
Jung Hoo Lee4.7.871.231.045.085.300.453.285.338.419.757
Willy Adames4.5.598.185.012.201.4431.075.244.323.443.766
Rafael Devers4.4.595.184.008.231.4941.051.260.349.489.838
Daniel Susac4.3.711.160.020.100.2481.036.246.299.370.669
Drew Gilbert4.2.603.175.027.112.363.736.241.318.390.708
Osleivis Basabe4.1.685.186.012.071.228.668.248.296.357.654
Grant McCray4.0.553.155.030.087.3221.116.226.294.357.651
Christian Koss3.9.654.176.014.083.182.787.254.299.378.677

Texas Rangers — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Joc Pederson4.6.685.152.027.178.4791.020.257.345.439.784
Wyatt Langford4.5.724.207.028.143.435.952.274.349.445.794
Corey Seager4.4.708.191.005.165.439.873.272.350.449.799
Brandon Nimmo4.3.760.184.023.114.371.856.279.349.426.776
Evan Carter4.2.630.160.042.096.420.940.250.334.393.726
Jake Burger4.1.650.172.008.152.243.963.259.311.429.740
Ezequiel Duran4.0.699.203.024.072.204.878.267.310.392.702
Austin Wynns3.9.613.152.009.080.227.973.237.288.351.639
Nicky Lopez3.7.758.136.020.018.255.547.271.328.338.666
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections