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2.0% edge · San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds
August 3, 2026 · Logan Webb vs Cal Quantrill · 85°F
San Francisco Giants win
46.6%
Texas Rangers win
53.4%
Fair line (home)
-115
Proj. total
8.42
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
San Francisco Giants (mean 4.17)Texas Rangers (mean 4.25)
Totals
O/U line
8
Proj. total
8.42
Over
45.3%
Under
47.2%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 46.6% | +120 | +115 |
| Texas Rangers | 53.4% | -130 | -115 |
San Francisco Giants — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Furman | 4.8 | .819 | .179 | .015 | .070 | .433 | .736 | .253 | .330 | .351 | .681 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.7 | .871 | .231 | .045 | .085 | .300 | .453 | .285 | .338 | .419 | .757 |
| Willy Adames | 4.5 | .598 | .185 | .012 | .201 | .443 | 1.075 | .244 | .323 | .443 | .766 |
| Rafael Devers | 4.4 | .595 | .184 | .008 | .231 | .494 | 1.051 | .260 | .349 | .489 | .838 |
| Daniel Susac | 4.3 | .711 | .160 | .020 | .100 | .248 | 1.036 | .246 | .299 | .370 | .669 |
| Drew Gilbert | 4.2 | .603 | .175 | .027 | .112 | .363 | .736 | .241 | .318 | .390 | .708 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 4.1 | .685 | .186 | .012 | .071 | .228 | .668 | .248 | .296 | .357 | .654 |
| Grant McCray | 4.0 | .553 | .155 | .030 | .087 | .322 | 1.116 | .226 | .294 | .357 | .651 |
| Christian Koss | 3.9 | .654 | .176 | .014 | .083 | .182 | .787 | .254 | .299 | .378 | .677 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.6 | .685 | .152 | .027 | .178 | .479 | 1.020 | .257 | .345 | .439 | .784 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.5 | .724 | .207 | .028 | .143 | .435 | .952 | .274 | .349 | .445 | .794 |
| Corey Seager | 4.4 | .708 | .191 | .005 | .165 | .439 | .873 | .272 | .350 | .449 | .799 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.3 | .760 | .184 | .023 | .114 | .371 | .856 | .279 | .349 | .426 | .776 |
| Evan Carter | 4.2 | .630 | .160 | .042 | .096 | .420 | .940 | .250 | .334 | .393 | .726 |
| Jake Burger | 4.1 | .650 | .172 | .008 | .152 | .243 | .963 | .259 | .311 | .429 | .740 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.0 | .699 | .203 | .024 | .072 | .204 | .878 | .267 | .310 | .392 | .702 |
| Austin Wynns | 3.9 | .613 | .152 | .009 | .080 | .227 | .973 | .237 | .288 | .351 | .639 |
| Nicky Lopez | 3.7 | .758 | .136 | .020 | .018 | .255 | .547 | .271 | .328 | .338 | .666 |
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections