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3.3% edge · San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds
August 5, 2026 · Carson Whisenhunt vs Cody Bradford · 85°F
San Francisco Giants win
43.9%
Texas Rangers win
56.1%
Fair line (home)
-128
Proj. total
8.63
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
San Francisco Giants (mean 4.14)Texas Rangers (mean 4.49)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
8.63
Over
47.0%
Under
52.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 43.9% | +141 | +128 |
| Texas Rangers | 56.1% | -154 | -128 |
San Francisco Giants — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Eldridge | 4.7 | .671 | .205 | .004 | .193 | .410 | 1.316 | .250 | .320 | .435 | .755 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.6 | .865 | .234 | .047 | .094 | .264 | .469 | .287 | .333 | .428 | .761 |
| Willy Adames | 4.5 | .595 | .183 | .009 | .213 | .388 | 1.098 | .244 | .313 | .450 | .763 |
| Rafael Devers | 4.4 | .577 | .196 | .009 | .237 | .440 | 1.069 | .259 | .338 | .495 | .833 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 4.3 | .710 | .197 | .012 | .067 | .215 | .713 | .243 | .287 | .348 | .635 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 4.2 | .607 | .171 | .011 | .108 | .359 | .852 | .238 | .312 | .375 | .687 |
| Grant McCray | 4.1 | .556 | .163 | .029 | .092 | .300 | 1.155 | .224 | .285 | .356 | .640 |
| Eddys Leonard | 4.0 | .570 | .156 | .022 | .136 | .202 | .904 | .238 | .285 | .401 | .686 |
| Drew Cavanaugh | 3.9 | .528 | .141 | .005 | .099 | .326 | 1.117 | .223 | .300 | .352 | .652 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford | 4.6 | .720 | .199 | .028 | .181 | .560 | .883 | .279 | .372 | .476 | .849 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.5 | .800 | .228 | .023 | .114 | .285 | .877 | .277 | .329 | .423 | .752 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.4 | .738 | .185 | .019 | .150 | .458 | .806 | .280 | .364 | .452 | .816 |
| Jake Burger | 4.3 | .663 | .188 | .006 | .203 | .312 | .914 | .268 | .330 | .474 | .803 |
| Justin Foscue | 4.2 | .587 | .212 | .006 | .122 | .436 | .722 | .249 | .336 | .408 | .745 |
| Elias Díaz | 4.1 | .660 | .176 | .006 | .112 | .271 | .846 | .251 | .306 | .388 | .694 |
| Nicky Lopez | 4.0 | .782 | .153 | .019 | .022 | .343 | .520 | .271 | .341 | .342 | .683 |
| Cam Cauley | 3.9 | .578 | .154 | .035 | .073 | .325 | .873 | .238 | .306 | .363 | .669 |
| Evan Carter | 3.8 | .542 | .143 | .036 | .106 | .452 | .747 | .254 | .354 | .418 | .772 |
Data notes: home starter Cody Bradford: only 0 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Cody Bradford: only 0 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Carson Whisenhunt: only 18 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Carson Whisenhunt: only 69 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections