San Francisco Giants vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

August 4, 2026 · Blade Tidwell vs MacKenzie Gore · 85°F

5.2% edge · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants win

40.4%

Texas Rangers win

59.6%

Fair line (home)

-148

Proj. total

8.27

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

San Francisco Giants (mean 3.80)Texas Rangers (mean 4.47)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.27

Over

43.5%

Under

49.0%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
San Francisco Giants	40.4%	+179	+148
Texas Rangers	59.6%	-196	-148

San Francisco Giants — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Osleivis Basabe	4.7	.732	.203	.014	.071	.291	.937	.233	.287	.335	.621
Jung Hoo Lee	4.6	.819	.225	.043	.084	.340	.555	.277	.336	.411	.746
Willy Adames	4.5	.542	.166	.012	.183	.466	1.264	.227	.312	.412	.724
Rafael Devers	4.4	.534	.179	.007	.200	.528	1.207	.242	.339	.450	.789
Daniel Susac	4.3	.669	.156	.022	.094	.260	1.206	.237	.292	.358	.650
Buddy Kennedy	4.2	.559	.156	.010	.098	.445	.978	.224	.318	.353	.671
Eddys Leonard	4.1	.556	.147	.020	.130	.267	1.082	.227	.286	.380	.667
Grant McCray	4.0	.493	.147	.023	.084	.353	1.266	.209	.284	.333	.618
Christian Koss	3.8	.613	.167	.014	.069	.193	.914	.240	.287	.352	.639

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.6	.614	.134	.022	.202	.600	1.005	.245	.356	.443	.799
Wyatt Langford	4.5	.665	.183	.025	.170	.560	.953	.265	.363	.454	.817
Corey Seager	4.4	.658	.177	.004	.193	.546	.847	.269	.365	.468	.834
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.693	.174	.016	.133	.450	.867	.267	.353	.425	.778
Ezequiel Duran	4.2	.707	.203	.018	.099	.271	.915	.263	.318	.400	.718
Evan Carter	4.1	.571	.143	.036	.107	.517	.893	.243	.349	.395	.743
Elias Díaz	4.0	.610	.154	.005	.109	.274	.894	.238	.297	.371	.668
Nicky Lopez	3.9	.738	.133	.019	.019	.323	.566	.258	.328	.323	.651
Justin Foscue	3.8	.501	.179	.005	.104	.404	.719	.238	.328	.390	.718

Data notes: away starter Blade Tidwell: only 24 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Blade Tidwell: only 23 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections