Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

August 8, 2026 · Kyle Bradish vs Jacob deGrom · 85°F

0.3% edge · Texas Rangers

Baltimore Orioles win

41.8%

Texas Rangers win

58.2%

Fair line (home)

-139

Proj. total

8.89

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Baltimore Orioles (mean 4.18)Texas Rangers (mean 4.71)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.89

Over

57.3%

Under

42.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Baltimore Orioles	41.8%	+133	+139
Texas Rangers	58.2%	-144	-139

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gunnar Henderson	4.7	.653	.195	.032	.217	.370	1.169	.256	.321	.469	.790
Pete Alonso	4.6	.570	.167	.005	.276	.384	1.248	.246	.319	.489	.808
Jackson Holliday	4.5	.623	.154	.024	.136	.395	1.205	.232	.304	.382	.686
Tyler O'Neill	4.4	.518	.140	.009	.220	.388	1.398	.225	.299	.432	.732
Dylan Beavers	4.3	.598	.167	.014	.124	.435	1.144	.237	.318	.386	.705
Leody Taveras	4.2	.630	.130	.043	.112	.268	1.082	.236	.288	.379	.667
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	4.0	.526	.152	.018	.183	.157	1.295	.228	.265	.420	.685
Colton Cowser	3.9	.487	.127	.008	.164	.334	1.348	.221	.294	.400	.693
Carlos Narváez	3.8	.484	.145	.004	.113	.304	1.193	.215	.284	.358	.642

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.6	.633	.144	.024	.227	.576	1.106	.257	.361	.476	.837
Wyatt Langford	4.5	.657	.185	.023	.184	.538	1.058	.265	.357	.463	.820
Corey Seager	4.4	.653	.182	.004	.219	.528	.948	.274	.366	.493	.860
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.700	.176	.019	.144	.438	.991	.271	.354	.440	.793
Ezequiel Duran	4.2	.720	.213	.020	.106	.263	1.013	.270	.322	.416	.738
Evan Carter	4.1	.577	.148	.039	.127	.474	.997	.248	.344	.417	.761
Jake Burger	4.0	.589	.161	.006	.202	.283	1.051	.260	.320	.471	.790
Austin Wynns	3.9	.580	.147	.009	.103	.263	1.082	.233	.290	.364	.654
Nicky Lopez	3.8	.716	.136	.022	.021	.311	.620	.262	.331	.333	.664

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections