Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

August 7, 2026 · Shane Baz vs Nathan Eovaldi · 85°F

1.2% edge · Texas Rangers

Baltimore Orioles win

41.4%

Texas Rangers win

58.6%

Fair line (home)

-141

Proj. total

9.51

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Baltimore Orioles (mean 4.45)Texas Rangers (mean 5.06)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.51

Over

62.6%

Under

37.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Baltimore Orioles	41.4%	+130	+141
Texas Rangers	58.6%	-141	-141

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gunnar Henderson	4.8	.716	.211	.035	.199	.409	1.040	.269	.338	.472	.809
Pete Alonso	4.7	.616	.200	.006	.267	.388	1.127	.260	.333	.501	.834
Jackson Holliday	4.5	.667	.173	.030	.123	.431	1.103	.243	.321	.391	.712
Tyler O'Neill	4.5	.589	.154	.009	.200	.396	1.300	.237	.312	.430	.742
Dylan Beavers	4.3	.637	.178	.016	.123	.448	1.052	.247	.329	.397	.725
Leody Taveras	4.2	.678	.137	.049	.096	.273	.997	.243	.295	.376	.671
Coby Mayo	4.1	.513	.177	.011	.184	.310	1.241	.235	.300	.434	.734
Colton Cowser	4.0	.535	.149	.007	.151	.355	1.268	.234	.310	.405	.715
Carlos Narváez	3.9	.530	.153	.004	.103	.309	1.117	.223	.293	.356	.649

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.7	.649	.141	.025	.262	.591	1.023	.268	.371	.511	.882
Wyatt Langford	4.6	.678	.190	.025	.218	.531	.985	.278	.368	.501	.868
Corey Seager	4.5	.672	.184	.005	.233	.533	.873	.281	.373	.511	.884
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.715	.183	.020	.166	.442	.906	.281	.364	.469	.833
Ezequiel Duran	4.3	.721	.205	.022	.124	.265	.941	.271	.322	.428	.750
Evan Carter	4.2	.576	.144	.035	.146	.491	.931	.251	.349	.432	.781
Jake Burger	4.0	.599	.161	.006	.217	.284	.982	.265	.326	.488	.814
Elias Díaz	3.9	.602	.160	.005	.129	.266	.898	.247	.304	.400	.704
Nicky Lopez	3.8	.747	.133	.022	.029	.314	.579	.270	.337	.346	.683

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections