Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

August 22, 2026 · Ryan Johnson vs Cody Bradford · 72°F

2.4% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

40.8%

Texas Rangers win

59.2%

Fair line (home)

-145

Proj. total

8.87

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.11)Texas Rangers (mean 4.76)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.87

Over

49.7%

Under

42.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	40.8%	+155	+145
Texas Rangers	59.2%	-169	-145

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Ryan Johnson RHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.1	3.5	4.3	1.6	2.2
Cody Bradford LHP · Texas Rangers	5.1	5.0	4.9	1.3	2.2

Strikeout ladder

Ryan Johnson4+ 46%6+ 13%8+ 2%

Cody Bradford4+ 76%6+ 38%8+ 11%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.7	.615	.201	.016	.208	.313	1.212	.242	.306	.442	.748
Mike Trout	4.6	.578	.152	.007	.232	.589	1.212	.246	.350	.464	.815
Vaughn Grissom	4.5	.764	.206	.005	.120	.257	.779	.262	.311	.400	.711
Moisés Ballesteros	4.4	.712	.184	.007	.142	.320	.737	.259	.317	.415	.732
Jose Siri	4.3	.533	.156	.017	.182	.235	1.356	.222	.273	.407	.679
Gustavo Campero	4.2	.634	.162	.010	.127	.201	.810	.241	.296	.387	.682
Denzer Guzman	4.1	.598	.161	.011	.144	.233	1.010	.240	.289	.402	.691
Christian Moore	3.9	.562	.138	.025	.111	.336	1.145	.234	.304	.379	.683
Travis d'Arnaud	3.8	.501	.149	.004	.127	.218	1.011	.220	.274	.371	.644

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.6	.610	.137	.019	.252	.574	.989	.256	.360	.491	.851
Corey Seager	4.5	.651	.178	.004	.232	.536	.854	.270	.363	.494	.857
Wyatt Langford	4.4	.619	.178	.019	.192	.527	.926	.263	.356	.469	.826
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.676	.171	.020	.156	.435	.866	.269	.352	.447	.799
Ezequiel Duran	4.2	.667	.190	.021	.121	.257	.921	.256	.309	.409	.718
Evan Carter	4.1	.562	.148	.029	.132	.471	.892	.244	.341	.413	.754
Jake Burger	4.0	.555	.148	.006	.204	.272	.966	.249	.310	.460	.771
Cody Freeman	3.9	.630	.167	.006	.115	.237	.554	.255	.305	.400	.706
Danny Jansen	3.7	.422	.131	.013	.140	.422	.849	.216	.316	.393	.710

Data notes: home starter Cody Bradford: only 23 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Cody Bradford: only 42 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections