Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

August 21, 2026 · Reid Detmers vs MacKenzie Gore · 72°F

0.3% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

44.6%

Texas Rangers win

55.4%

Fair line (home)

-124

Proj. total

7.87

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 3.82)Texas Rangers (mean 4.06)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

7.87

Over

47.4%

Under

40.7%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	44.6%	+121	+124
Texas Rangers	55.4%	-132	-124

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Reid Detmers LHP · Los Angeles Angels	5.3	5.9	4.9	1.9	2.3
MacKenzie Gore LHP · Texas Rangers	5.4	6.8	4.5	1.9	2.0

Strikeout ladder

Reid Detmers4+ 86%6+ 55%8+ 22%

MacKenzie Gore4+ 93%6+ 70%8+ 37%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.7	.555	.187	.018	.186	.383	1.403	.225	.302	.411	.713
Mike Trout	4.6	.531	.132	.007	.204	.714	1.397	.230	.358	.429	.787
Moisés Ballesteros	4.5	.679	.178	.007	.126	.398	.911	.245	.317	.386	.703
Vaughn Grissom	4.4	.714	.190	.005	.101	.313	.926	.252	.313	.377	.690
Jose Siri	4.3	.498	.143	.017	.154	.281	1.538	.206	.267	.369	.635
Denzer Guzman	4.2	.565	.164	.011	.131	.279	1.169	.227	.285	.378	.663
Josh Lowe	4.0	.544	.170	.009	.131	.333	1.223	.232	.298	.389	.687
Travis d'Arnaud	3.9	.485	.139	.005	.113	.266	1.194	.206	.269	.341	.609
Oswald Peraza	3.8	.522	.113	.014	.098	.242	1.125	.213	.274	.338	.612

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Justin Foscue	4.5	.575	.192	.011	.144	.414	1.049	.228	.308	.387	.695
Corey Seager	4.4	.594	.165	.003	.212	.535	1.017	.254	.351	.464	.815
Wyatt Langford	4.3	.556	.169	.022	.183	.496	1.088	.246	.340	.448	.788
Brandon Nimmo	4.2	.623	.153	.018	.142	.423	1.019	.251	.336	.415	.752
Ezequiel Duran	4.1	.623	.186	.019	.115	.250	1.093	.247	.300	.396	.695
Jake Burger	4.0	.538	.143	.004	.187	.276	1.119	.237	.299	.431	.730
Cody Freeman	3.9	.609	.161	.007	.114	.230	.691	.245	.295	.387	.681
Elias Díaz	3.8	.499	.140	.004	.099	.244	1.025	.213	.271	.341	.612
Evan Carter	3.6	.446	.127	.026	.100	.429	.931	.221	.323	.372	.695

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections