Athletics vs Texas Rangers — Prediction & Odds

September 2, 2026 · Jacob Lopez vs Cody Bradford · 72°F

0.7% edge · Texas Rangers

Athletics win

40.1%

Texas Rangers win

59.9%

Fair line (home)

-150

Proj. total

8.75

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Athletics (mean 4.00)Texas Rangers (mean 4.74)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.75

Over

56.2%

Under

43.8%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Athletics	40.1%	+140	+150
Texas Rangers	59.9%	-153	-150

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Jacob Lopez LHP · Athletics	4.5	4.3	4.6	2.0	2.4
Cody Bradford LHP · Texas Rangers	5.4	4.8	5.3	1.2	2.2

Strikeout ladder

Jacob Lopez4+ 65%6+ 26%8+ 6%

Cody Bradford4+ 73%6+ 36%8+ 10%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Athletics — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Henry Bolte	4.7	.792	.196	.026	.151	.270	1.303	.267	.320	.428	.749
Zack Gelof	4.6	.635	.191	.014	.222	.326	1.199	.252	.310	.461	.771
Lawrence Butler	4.5	.618	.182	.015	.185	.369	1.076	.244	.309	.432	.740
Jonah Heim	4.4	.626	.155	.003	.158	.250	.814	.230	.279	.385	.664
Jeff McNeil	4.3	.749	.188	.016	.105	.278	.492	.269	.325	.405	.731
Michael Stefanic	4.2	.776	.169	.003	.058	.336	.524	.269	.340	.362	.703
Alika Williams	4.0	.685	.192	.014	.085	.201	.782	.255	.298	.379	.678
Brian Serven	3.9	.516	.135	.009	.111	.256	1.134	.212	.270	.344	.614
Denzel Clarke	3.8	.525	.151	.030	.111	.229	1.221	.230	.285	.384	.669

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ezequiel Duran	4.6	.733	.230	.022	.140	.325	1.096	.265	.325	.429	.754
Corey Seager	4.5	.649	.178	.004	.239	.570	.896	.275	.374	.508	.881
Wyatt Langford	4.4	.610	.175	.019	.196	.553	.960	.263	.362	.473	.835
Brandon Nimmo	4.3	.671	.169	.023	.170	.475	.905	.275	.365	.467	.832
Jake Burger	4.2	.595	.160	.006	.223	.315	1.052	.258	.324	.478	.802
Justin Foscue	4.1	.539	.193	.010	.144	.406	.826	.244	.330	.422	.752
Elias Díaz	4.0	.579	.150	.004	.124	.283	.945	.234	.295	.379	.674
Cody Freeman	3.9	.636	.171	.007	.120	.248	.593	.261	.314	.412	.726
Danny Jansen	3.7	.441	.139	.012	.145	.446	.883	.228	.332	.413	.746

Data notes: home starter Cody Bradford: only 44 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Cody Bradford: only 70 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections