Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

July 17, 2026 · Anthony Kay vs Spencer Miles · 72°F

0.2% edge · Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox win

45.2%

Toronto Blue Jays win

54.8%

Fair line (home)

-121

Proj. total

8.89

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 4.35)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.54)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.89

Over

49.1%

Under

50.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	45.2%	+118	+121
Toronto Blue Jays	54.8%	-128	-121

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.879	.177	.029	.069	.477	.824	.273	.365	.377	.743
Munetaka Murakami	4.7	.535	.119	.006	.250	.665	1.471	.225	.339	.443	.781
Miguel Vargas	4.6	.604	.207	.013	.159	.551	.870	.244	.342	.421	.763
Colson Montgomery	4.5	.534	.152	.011	.199	.394	1.378	.220	.299	.410	.709
Andrew Benintendi	4.4	.699	.157	.022	.118	.379	.882	.249	.318	.387	.705
Kyle Teel	4.3	.672	.141	.007	.104	.467	1.131	.244	.333	.367	.700
Braden Montgomery	4.2	.608	.173	.017	.086	.363	1.168	.234	.308	.356	.664
Tristan Peters	4.1	.630	.167	.021	.069	.336	.885	.239	.308	.352	.660
Chase Meidroth	4.0	.692	.143	.004	.061	.430	.743	.258	.347	.354	.701

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ernie Clement	4.7	.935	.245	.018	.085	.218	.389	.292	.331	.414	.745
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.5	.792	.211	.004	.181	.569	.531	.304	.399	.498	.897
Kazuma Okamoto	4.4	.621	.181	.004	.208	.413	.920	.256	.336	.462	.798
George Springer	4.3	.657	.159	.015	.165	.496	.755	.264	.357	.445	.802
Alejandro Kirk	4.2	.732	.162	.006	.120	.478	.480	.275	.364	.419	.783
Daulton Varsho	4.1	.532	.166	.032	.152	.388	.883	.239	.318	.425	.743
Brandon Valenzuela	4.0	.557	.134	.005	.104	.349	.977	.221	.295	.347	.642
Luis Urías	3.9	.596	.141	.010	.101	.411	.614	.250	.345	.386	.730
Myles Straw	3.8	.658	.147	.014	.035	.325	.646	.249	.318	.331	.649

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections