Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

July 20, 2026 · Nick Martinez vs Dylan Cease · 74°F

0.6% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays win

39.2%

Toronto Blue Jays win

60.8%

Fair line (home)

-155

Proj. total

8.52

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Tampa Bay Rays (mean 3.87)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.65)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.52

Over

54.7%

Under

45.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Tampa Bay Rays	39.2%	+146	+155
Toronto Blue Jays	60.8%	-159	-155

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.8	.805	.180	.012	.145	.524	.916	.273	.360	.426	.786
Jonathan Aranda	4.7	.667	.162	.004	.137	.585	1.379	.242	.347	.387	.735
Junior Caminero	4.5	.620	.161	.005	.269	.438	1.085	.258	.334	.497	.831
Cedric Mullins	4.4	.539	.149	.018	.118	.426	1.238	.207	.289	.342	.631
Chandler Simpson	4.3	.926	.120	.054	.012	.274	.618	.276	.324	.342	.665
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.2	.555	.152	.014	.106	.380	1.177	.217	.291	.348	.639
Richie Palacios	4.1	.572	.138	.025	.057	.486	.969	.221	.321	.321	.642
Nick Fortes	4.0	.618	.146	.007	.086	.224	.807	.231	.286	.344	.629
Taylor Walls	3.9	.463	.117	.027	.040	.426	1.153	.189	.282	.273	.555

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ernie Clement	4.6	.916	.236	.021	.098	.160	.352	.290	.319	.421	.740
Nathan Lukes	4.5	.869	.207	.017	.106	.303	.560	.291	.345	.427	.772
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.3	.790	.219	.004	.218	.427	.478	.317	.390	.543	.933
George Springer	4.3	.670	.167	.014	.193	.374	.702	.272	.343	.473	.816
Kazuma Okamoto	4.2	.594	.168	.005	.226	.309	.815	.261	.324	.487	.811
Daulton Varsho	4.0	.540	.169	.028	.195	.295	.818	.250	.311	.468	.779
Alejandro Kirk	3.9	.705	.151	.005	.136	.352	.413	.281	.350	.441	.791
Andrés Giménez	3.8	.662	.159	.015	.105	.176	.592	.264	.313	.405	.718
Myles Straw	3.7	.655	.143	.013	.042	.262	.595	.250	.306	.337	.643

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections