Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Sean Burke vs Trey Yesavage · 74°F

5.1% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White Sox win

47.1%

Toronto Blue Jays win

52.9%

Fair line (home)

-112

Proj. total

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 4.50)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.50)

O/U line

Proj. total

Over

50.8%

Under

41.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	47.1%	-114	+112
Toronto Blue Jays	52.9%	+105	-112

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.826	.171	.031	.085	.520	.860	.267	.366	.383	.749
Munetaka Murakami	4.7	.504	.117	.005	.283	.729	1.466	.230	.354	.476	.830
Miguel Vargas	4.6	.572	.184	.014	.180	.637	.886	.242	.355	.434	.788
Colson Montgomery	4.5	.501	.142	.008	.226	.420	1.399	.218	.302	.426	.728
Andrew Benintendi	4.4	.677	.147	.021	.141	.426	.912	.251	.327	.406	.733
Braden Montgomery	4.3	.605	.175	.018	.099	.404	1.230	.233	.312	.365	.677
Randal Grichuk	4.2	.593	.181	.008	.185	.264	.947	.250	.303	.444	.747
Tristan Peters	4.1	.601	.162	.018	.090	.373	.904	.238	.313	.366	.680
Drew Romo	4.0	.536	.128	.009	.111	.265	1.048	.215	.276	.346	.622

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ernie Clement	4.6	.891	.226	.018	.111	.241	.444	.286	.328	.423	.752
Nathan Lukes	4.5	.807	.200	.018	.100	.427	.704	.279	.353	.411	.764
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.4	.712	.193	.003	.221	.597	.581	.300	.402	.529	.931
Kazuma Okamoto	4.3	.555	.164	.006	.236	.446	.991	.252	.338	.484	.822
Daulton Varsho	4.2	.508	.153	.029	.192	.419	.982	.236	.318	.446	.764
Sean Keys	4.1	.470	.141	.009	.166	.479	1.147	.221	.324	.406	.730
Brandon Valenzuela	4.0	.521	.128	.006	.120	.390	1.040	.217	.299	.358	.657
Andrés Giménez	3.9	.613	.155	.013	.106	.262	.701	.252	.320	.394	.714
Jonatan Clase	3.8	.490	.134	.010	.094	.370	1.035	.217	.300	.347	.647

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections