Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

July 22, 2026 · Griffin Jax vs Braydon Fisher · 66°F

0.9% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays win

47.9%

Toronto Blue Jays win

52.0%

Fair line (home)

-109

Proj. total

8.26

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.17)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.09)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.26

Over

43.9%

Under

48.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Tampa Bay Rays	47.9%	+101	+109
Toronto Blue Jays	52.0%	-109	-109

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.8	.853	.195	.010	.146	.515	.769	.283	.367	.436	.803
Jonathan Aranda	4.7	.718	.188	.006	.135	.561	1.206	.256	.355	.404	.759
Junior Caminero	4.6	.671	.176	.005	.269	.432	.911	.270	.343	.510	.853
Cedric Mullins	4.5	.591	.163	.020	.125	.430	1.053	.223	.304	.366	.670
Chandler Simpson	4.4	.961	.129	.057	.014	.258	.501	.282	.327	.351	.678
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.3	.615	.170	.016	.112	.365	1.030	.234	.305	.373	.677
Taylor Walls	4.2	.551	.135	.028	.045	.456	1.089	.205	.296	.293	.590
Richie Palacios	4.1	.597	.157	.026	.054	.476	.828	.235	.332	.339	.671
Hunter Feduccia	3.9	.503	.135	.024	.064	.451	1.115	.209	.304	.316	.620

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ernie Clement	4.6	.858	.231	.018	.089	.211	.485	.276	.314	.398	.712
Nathan Lukes	4.5	.781	.190	.015	.086	.375	.761	.265	.332	.383	.715
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.4	.711	.183	.003	.180	.538	.624	.285	.380	.478	.859
George Springer	4.3	.597	.145	.012	.161	.457	.877	.244	.333	.417	.750
Yohendrick Piñango	4.2	.588	.175	.004	.096	.358	1.046	.229	.300	.354	.654
Alejandro Kirk	4.0	.662	.150	.005	.122	.439	.554	.262	.348	.410	.757
Daulton Varsho	3.9	.477	.145	.026	.150	.346	.999	.224	.299	.406	.705
Sean Keys	3.8	.438	.132	.009	.128	.391	1.141	.209	.301	.368	.669
Andrés Giménez	3.7	.594	.140	.011	.078	.210	.708	.242	.301	.359	.660

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections