St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

August 2, 2026 · Matthew Liberatore vs Max Scherzer · 69°F

0.8% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

St. Louis Cardinals win

45.9%

Toronto Blue Jays win

54.1%

Fair line (home)

-118

Proj. total

9.37

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.63)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.74)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.37

Over

43.8%

Under

46.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	45.9%	+110	+118
Toronto Blue Jays	54.1%	-119	-118

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Lars Nootbaar	4.8	.701	.179	.019	.176	.580	.994	.253	.347	.429	.776
Jordan Walker	4.7	.710	.197	.009	.219	.349	1.215	.261	.321	.461	.783
Alec Burleson	4.6	.782	.192	.013	.202	.336	.683	.280	.338	.474	.811
Iván Herrera	4.5	.722	.164	.010	.159	.485	.837	.270	.366	.438	.804
Masyn Winn	4.4	.740	.188	.022	.109	.311	.799	.261	.320	.399	.720
Bryan Torres	4.3	.754	.157	.021	.066	.445	.815	.261	.341	.365	.706
José Fermín	4.2	.647	.183	.005	.091	.411	.572	.249	.332	.374	.706
Nathan Church	4.1	.703	.144	.019	.106	.223	.718	.255	.303	.386	.689
Blaze Jordan	4.0	.659	.175	.015	.122	.209	.547	.260	.304	.413	.717

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Urías	4.7	.732	.182	.012	.133	.457	.723	.256	.341	.403	.744
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.5	.814	.223	.004	.194	.521	.527	.310	.395	.513	.909
Kazuma Okamoto	4.4	.628	.180	.005	.212	.399	.934	.257	.332	.464	.796
George Springer	4.3	.658	.174	.014	.172	.461	.750	.265	.350	.453	.803
Alejandro Kirk	4.2	.764	.168	.005	.128	.454	.464	.284	.366	.434	.800
Ernie Clement	4.1	.828	.228	.019	.076	.183	.353	.293	.329	.419	.747
Myles Straw	4.0	.716	.160	.014	.040	.332	.674	.254	.319	.338	.657
Daulton Varsho	3.9	.522	.165	.029	.155	.347	.821	.247	.321	.443	.763
Andrés Giménez	3.8	.663	.170	.015	.085	.216	.607	.268	.326	.398	.724

Data notes: home starter Max Scherzer: only 35 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections