Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

August 12, 2026 · Ranger Suarez vs José Soriano · 67°F

2.9% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox win

51.1%

Toronto Blue Jays win

48.9%

Fair line (home)

+104

Proj. total

8.39

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 4.34)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.05)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.39

Over

53.2%

Under

36.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	51.1%	-122	-104
Toronto Blue Jays	48.9%	+113	+104

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Masataka Yoshida	4.9	.881	.224	.020	.083	.401	.685	.274	.344	.389	.733
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.8	.773	.232	.033	.100	.276	.980	.257	.309	.392	.701
Adley Rutschman	4.7	.713	.188	.016	.104	.600	.747	.254	.353	.386	.739
Willson Contreras	4.5	.631	.193	.015	.151	.501	1.176	.252	.355	.425	.780
Wilyer Abreu	4.4	.619	.198	.026	.122	.527	1.033	.248	.341	.406	.747
Caleb Durbin	4.3	.682	.226	.016	.079	.365	.546	.259	.338	.387	.725
Jarren Duran	4.2	.564	.202	.052	.093	.380	1.119	.240	.316	.393	.710
Andruw Monasterio	4.1	.663	.186	.005	.057	.399	.937	.248	.329	.348	.677
Nick Sogard	4.0	.596	.158	.013	.034	.483	.914	.230	.329	.312	.641

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Charles McAdoo	4.6	.691	.177	.014	.093	.350	1.281	.230	.294	.345	.639
Brett Bateman	4.5	.769	.151	.015	.031	.536	1.115	.245	.339	.315	.654
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.4	.788	.218	.003	.160	.501	.605	.303	.388	.486	.874
Alejandro Kirk	4.3	.781	.172	.005	.113	.449	.566	.280	.360	.416	.777
Kazuma Okamoto	4.2	.587	.167	.004	.171	.369	1.012	.245	.319	.427	.745
Andrés Giménez	4.1	.694	.176	.014	.081	.221	.756	.255	.310	.373	.682
Ernie Clement	4.0	.782	.214	.017	.068	.172	.411	.287	.321	.407	.728
Jesús Sánchez	3.9	.594	.184	.012	.110	.312	.948	.256	.322	.409	.731
Myles Straw	3.7	.639	.143	.011	.032	.311	.732	.242	.309	.319	.628

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections