New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Odds

August 15, 2026 · Cam Schlittler vs Braydon Fisher · 71°F

8.1% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees win

53.8%

Toronto Blue Jays win

46.2%

Fair line (home)

+116

Proj. total

7.99

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Yankees (mean 4.29)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 3.70)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.99

Over

48.5%

Under

39.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Yankees	53.8%	-171	-116
Toronto Blue Jays	46.2%	+157	+116

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trent Grisham	4.8	.555	.154	.015	.189	.643	1.094	.224	.334	.408	.741
Ben Rice	4.7	.569	.159	.016	.245	.539	1.039	.244	.340	.472	.812
Heliot Ramos	4.5	.693	.171	.026	.146	.360	1.149	.251	.319	.410	.729
Luis García Jr.	4.4	.771	.201	.025	.168	.236	.678	.279	.320	.459	.779
Spencer Jones	4.3	.522	.153	.008	.165	.361	1.625	.215	.286	.384	.670
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.2	.574	.121	.015	.172	.431	1.147	.235	.318	.412	.731
George Lombard Jr.	4.1	.497	.157	.007	.058	.452	1.163	.199	.296	.295	.591
Ryan McMahon	4.0	.479	.126	.004	.138	.446	1.272	.212	.304	.367	.671
Austin Wells	3.9	.451	.132	.007	.149	.368	1.016	.212	.294	.382	.676

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brett Bateman	4.5	.704	.141	.012	.043	.538	1.189	.227	.323	.301	.623
Nathan Lukes	4.4	.783	.192	.014	.095	.347	.762	.268	.331	.393	.724
Alejandro Kirk	4.3	.710	.157	.006	.135	.444	.629	.263	.345	.413	.757
Jesús Sánchez	4.2	.592	.179	.013	.157	.327	1.077	.244	.309	.419	.728
Kazuma Okamoto	4.1	.533	.145	.005	.202	.345	1.019	.237	.309	.440	.749
Andrés Giménez	4.0	.624	.162	.012	.102	.215	.784	.243	.300	.375	.676
Brandon Valenzuela	3.9	.490	.118	.006	.104	.324	1.091	.203	.274	.327	.601
Josh Smith	3.8	.553	.138	.015	.078	.351	.790	.234	.319	.354	.673
Charles McAdoo	3.6	.498	.126	.010	.093	.275	1.055	.218	.283	.345	.628

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections