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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Odds

July 26, 2026 · Kohl Drake vs Miles Mikolas · 84°F
4.3% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks win
55.7%
Washington Nationals win
44.3%
Fair line (home)
+126
Proj. total
9.92

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%15%03691215182124Runs scored
Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 5.40)Washington Nationals (mean 4.52)

Totals

O/U line
10
Proj. total
9.92
Over
41.4%
Under
51.7%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
Arizona Diamondbacks55.7%-110-126
Washington Nationals44.3%+102+126

Arizona Diamondbacks — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Corbin Carroll4.9.713.215.113.227.483.824.287.364.542.906
Geraldo Perdomo4.8.874.199.046.122.514.483.290.372.444.816
Gabriel Moreno4.7.948.237.012.134.417.601.312.377.466.844
Ketel Marte4.6.780.213.032.231.399.547.302.369.534.903
Max Kepler4.5.707.207.018.153.372.724.265.331.436.767
Nolan Arenado4.4.750.195.009.162.283.580.274.326.445.771
Adrian Del Castillo4.3.648.212.014.148.322.971.259.319.433.752
Tyler Locklear4.2.698.186.016.128.315.891.270.335.429.764
Tim Tawa4.1.592.175.023.141.319.794.251.314.424.739

Washington Nationals — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
James Wood4.7.644.212.011.231.7051.227.279.392.514.906
Andrés Chaparro4.6.657.208.007.170.404.978.253.326.431.756
Dylan Crews4.4.692.178.019.153.329.906.257.322.423.746
CJ Abrams4.3.683.197.031.167.315.763.274.340.466.806
Brady House4.2.738.178.011.132.2071.042.265.305.414.719
Jacob Young4.1.751.170.021.067.281.682.266.325.375.700
Harry Ford4.0.571.152.007.080.485.956.232.334.348.683
Luis García Jr.3.9.722.189.024.153.215.516.295.337.484.821
Nasim Nuñez3.8.677.089.023.041.363.824.244.321.320.641
Data notes: away starter Kohl Drake: only 5 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Kohl Drake: only 16 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections