Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Odds

July 29, 2026 · Trey Yesavage vs Zack Littell · 82°F

3.0% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays win

54.8%

Washington Nationals win

45.2%

Fair line (home)

+121

Proj. total

9.51

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Toronto Blue Jays (mean 5.11)Washington Nationals (mean 4.40)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.51

Over

44.9%

Under

55.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Toronto Blue Jays	54.8%	-113	-121
Washington Nationals	45.2%	+103	+121

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yohendrick Piñango	4.9	.764	.237	.010	.158	.363	.949	.261	.320	.424	.744
Nathan Lukes	4.8	.914	.220	.017	.131	.324	.602	.291	.346	.438	.784
Kazuma Okamoto	4.7	.663	.196	.005	.273	.348	.889	.267	.329	.508	.837
George Springer	4.5	.711	.179	.017	.216	.421	.729	.276	.350	.487	.837
Alejandro Kirk	4.4	.777	.182	.006	.168	.419	.439	.285	.358	.461	.819
Daulton Varsho	4.3	.586	.186	.031	.204	.332	.851	.255	.317	.472	.789
Ernie Clement	4.2	.846	.232	.019	.108	.166	.312	.299	.331	.447	.778
Andrés Giménez	4.1	.709	.177	.017	.117	.205	.611	.268	.321	.415	.736
Davis Schneider	4.0	.476	.152	.010	.159	.529	.999	.233	.342	.423	.765

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	4.7	.601	.209	.010	.236	.742	1.340	.270	.390	.510	.900
Luis García Jr.	4.6	.796	.214	.023	.195	.283	.737	.288	.335	.486	.820
Brady House	4.4	.715	.168	.008	.137	.257	1.243	.247	.295	.390	.685
CJ Abrams	4.3	.655	.184	.025	.175	.356	.889	.266	.339	.461	.801
Harry Ford	4.2	.565	.147	.006	.091	.550	1.127	.223	.335	.343	.678
Daylen Lile	4.1	.687	.189	.046	.105	.312	.760	.271	.333	.429	.762
Jacob Young	4.0	.694	.152	.019	.068	.313	.785	.255	.321	.362	.683
Jorbit Vivas	3.9	.617	.147	.008	.064	.431	.611	.245	.341	.349	.691
Nasim Nuñez	3.8	.627	.088	.030	.037	.412	.921	.233	.320	.310	.630

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections