Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Brady Singer vs Brad Lord · 94°F

0.5% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds win

49.8%

Washington Nationals win

50.2%

Fair line (home)

-101

Proj. total

9.51

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cincinnati Reds (mean 4.91)Washington Nationals (mean 4.60)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.51

Over

45.4%

Under

44.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cincinnati Reds	49.8%	-101	+101
Washington Nationals	50.2%	-107	-101

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Elly De La Cruz	4.9	.740	.207	.043	.199	.504	1.208	.274	.355	.479	.834
Sal Stewart	4.8	.733	.227	.004	.197	.472	.891	.272	.350	.466	.816
JJ Bleday	4.7	.592	.200	.015	.215	.581	.961	.252	.350	.469	.818
Tyler Stephenson	4.5	.671	.182	.004	.145	.489	1.141	.249	.336	.405	.741
Eugenio Suárez	4.5	.544	.156	.003	.251	.409	1.265	.240	.321	.470	.791
Héctor Rodríguez	4.3	.690	.160	.027	.167	.292	.827	.260	.315	.438	.753
Dane Myers	4.2	.697	.161	.007	.105	.367	1.021	.254	.327	.383	.710
Matt McLain	4.1	.569	.168	.005	.133	.451	1.036	.241	.333	.400	.733
Ke'Bryan Hayes	4.0	.700	.151	.024	.090	.282	.696	.262	.319	.388	.707

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
CJ Abrams	4.7	.728	.206	.034	.230	.335	.845	.285	.354	.515	.869
Abimelec Ortiz	4.5	.631	.185	.012	.221	.372	1.019	.256	.327	.469	.796
José Tena	4.4	.754	.205	.030	.118	.318	1.092	.272	.330	.425	.755
Daylen Lile	4.3	.763	.200	.057	.135	.297	.708	.291	.349	.472	.821
Dylan Crews	4.2	.655	.173	.021	.168	.293	.907	.264	.328	.450	.778
Jorbit Vivas	4.1	.683	.173	.008	.083	.429	.570	.264	.358	.385	.744
Nasim Nuñez	4.0	.720	.094	.033	.051	.406	.890	.251	.333	.339	.672
Keibert Ruiz	3.9	.676	.179	.004	.142	.192	.445	.274	.319	.442	.761
Jacob Young	3.8	.677	.149	.021	.079	.257	.659	.268	.330	.391	.721

Data notes: game-time temp 94F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections