Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Odds

August 24, 2026 · Ryan Feltner vs Cade Cavalli · 79°F

3.4% edge · Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies win

39.5%

Washington Nationals win

60.5%

Fair line (home)

-153

Proj. total

9.64

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.40)Washington Nationals (mean 5.24)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

9.64

Over

56.4%

Under

35.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	39.5%	+171	+153
Washington Nationals	60.5%	-187	-153

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Ryan Feltner RHP · Colorado Rockies	4.7	3.2	5.9	1.6	2.8
Cade Cavalli RHP · Washington Nationals	5.1	4.8	5.3	1.3	2.1

Strikeout ladder

Ryan Feltner4+ 39%6+ 9%8+ 1%

Cade Cavalli4+ 72%6+ 34%8+ 10%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Colorado Rockies — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.8	.873	.193	.065	.106	.282	.816	.280	.335	.425	.760
Mickey Moniak	4.7	.719	.182	.059	.199	.232	1.145	.264	.309	.468	.777
Willi Castro	4.6	.732	.181	.028	.104	.340	1.110	.255	.330	.389	.719
TJ Rumfield	4.5	.782	.200	.016	.121	.367	.745	.279	.351	.427	.778
Troy Johnston	4.3	.766	.206	.026	.085	.281	.819	.271	.331	.399	.730
Connor Norby	4.3	.648	.212	.010	.118	.324	1.076	.256	.322	.407	.730
Brett Sullivan	4.2	.632	.175	.031	.094	.252	.711	.242	.294	.376	.671
Zac Veen	4.0	.613	.186	.032	.143	.265	.941	.262	.317	.444	.761
Ezequiel Tovar	3.9	.613	.206	.015	.100	.211	.927	.254	.301	.401	.701

Washington Nationals — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
CJ Abrams	4.7	.808	.223	.033	.230	.366	.784	.303	.370	.532	.902
Abimelec Ortiz	4.6	.705	.232	.012	.260	.373	.850	.289	.353	.537	.890
Dylan Crews	4.5	.752	.206	.017	.182	.334	.838	.284	.347	.476	.823
Daylen Lile	4.4	.830	.216	.070	.141	.289	.605	.311	.364	.504	.867
Brady House	4.3	.825	.206	.017	.173	.209	.913	.303	.341	.490	.832
Keibert Ruiz	4.2	.810	.207	.005	.137	.219	.372	.297	.341	.459	.800
Jacob Young	4.0	.818	.194	.025	.084	.283	.559	.302	.360	.436	.796
Jorbit Vivas	3.9	.705	.168	.019	.069	.415	.449	.277	.365	.396	.762
Nasim Nuñez	3.8	.771	.101	.032	.050	.382	.668	.279	.355	.371	.725

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections